Paper Trades / XVG / XVG — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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XVG Verge Paper Trade

XVG — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 16 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Verge (XVG) is a long-running privacy-focused cryptocurrency that routes transactions through Tor and I2P to obscure user identity. Listed since 2016, XVG has full multi-cycle history including the 2017 and 2021 bull markets. Price action is dominated by privacy-narrative cycles and periodic retail-driven momentum bursts. Lower liquidity creates larger percentage swings.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XVG Signals →

XVG — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Verge (XVG) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+105.6%
€10,000 →
€20,557
Win Rate
100.0%
16W / 0L
Trades
16
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.80%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
16W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+118.36%
▼ -12.79
Win Rate
100.0%
≈
Sharpe
15.53
▼ -15.53
Alpha vs B&H
+95.80pp
▼ -95.80
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -4.80
Avg DD
-4.14%
▲ +4.14
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
17
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+105.57%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.80%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
V2.5.8.3
Return
+56.42%
▲ +49.15
Win Rate
85.7%
▲ +14.30
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-3.67%
▼ -1.13
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
21
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XVG

XVG Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +131.0%
20t
 		+81.9%
19t
 		+98.4%
16t
 		+116.0%
10t
 		+183.5%
17t
 		+80.5%
13t
 		+118.4%
17t
 		+80.6%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +36,242.3%

All months for XVG under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XVG — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
+1.2
9
+5.2
10
—
11
+15.6
12
+4.8
13
+3.4
14
—
15
—
16
+2.1
17
+4.1
18
—
19
—
20
+7.2
21
+2.4
22
—
23
+1.2
24
+2.2
25
—
26
+6.2
27
—
28
+4.1
29
+5.1
30
—
31
+5.6
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +105.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.56% on 14 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 14 100.0% +4.56% +85.27% 16h
BULL 2 100.0% +3.21% +6.47% 1.6d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 16 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 05:00 08 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.01 $0.01 +1.24% BULL 2.2d
08 Jul 2025 21:00 09 Jul 2025 21:00 $0.01 $0.01 +5.17% BULL 1d
10 Jul 2025 10:00 11 Jul 2025 04:00 $0.01 $0.01 +15.58% BUBBLE 19h
11 Jul 2025 22:00 12 Jul 2025 02:00 $0.01 $0.01 +2.02% BUBBLE 5h
12 Jul 2025 16:00 12 Jul 2025 19:00 $0.01 $0.01 +2.74% BUBBLE 4h
13 Jul 2025 08:00 13 Jul 2025 15:00 $0.01 $0.01 +3.37% BUBBLE 8h
15 Jul 2025 01:00 16 Jul 2025 12:00 $0.01 $0.01 +2.05% BUBBLE 1.5d
17 Jul 2025 01:00 17 Jul 2025 15:00 $0.01 $0.01 +4.13% BUBBLE 15h
20 Jul 2025 02:00 20 Jul 2025 11:00 $0.01 $0.01 +7.19% BUBBLE 10h
21 Jul 2025 00:00 21 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.01 $0.01 +2.40% BUBBLE 9h
22 Jul 2025 05:00 23 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.01 $0.01 +1.16% BUBBLE 20h
23 Jul 2025 21:00 24 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.01 $0.01 +2.23% BUBBLE 4h
25 Jul 2025 01:00 26 Jul 2025 14:00 $0.01 $0.01 +6.22% BUBBLE 1.6d
27 Jul 2025 03:00 28 Jul 2025 02:00 $0.01 $0.01 +4.11% BUBBLE 24h
29 Jul 2025 01:00 29 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.01 $0.01 +5.06% BUBBLE 8h
30 Jul 2025 13:00 31 Jul 2025 06:00 $0.01 $0.01 +5.57% BUBBLE 18h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XVG signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Verge Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XVG signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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100.0% Win Rate +105.6% Return -4.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees