Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — March 2024 (v4.2 (Theros))
LEGACY · v4.2 (Theros)

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

ADA — March 2024 (v4.2 (Theros)) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.2 (Theros) model.

v4.2 (Theros) 16 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

ADA — March 2024 (v4.2 (Theros)) Performance

Cardano (ADA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
7.69
Alpha vs B&H
+73.46pp
Risk / Reward
20.66×
B&H Return
-9.94%
Max Drawdown
-3.08%
Avg Drawdown
-3.00%
Sharpe Trend
-7.96
Model
v4.2 (Theros)
Full Backtest
ADA

ADA Monthly Returns (legacy v2.5)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025
+84.8%
16t
+98.0%
15t
+34.6%
19t
+46.5%
15t
+39.6%
20t
+41.0%
14t
+1,320.2%
2026
+18.6%
8t
+18.6%

All months for ADA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ADA — March 2024 (v4.2 (Theros)) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
+9.1
5
6
+15.8
7
-0.8
8
9
+1.5
10
11
+8.4
12
13
+2.5
14
+4.4
15
+1.4
16
+1.3
17
-1.8
18
-1.3
19
+0.2
20
21
+8.4
22
23
+4.7
24
+1.4
25
26
27
28
29
+3.6
30
31
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +63.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 81.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +3.63% on 15 trades, WR 80%.

Per-regime Breakdown

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 15 80.0% +3.63% +68.08% 17h
BULL 1 100.0% +4.41% +4.41% 12h

Trade Log

All 16 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +9.10% BUBBLE 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +15.81% BUBBLE 13h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.83% BUBBLE 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.54% BUBBLE 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.44% BUBBLE 23h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.54% BUBBLE 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.41% BULL 12h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.42% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.30% BUBBLE 5h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.76% BUBBLE 5h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.34% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.16% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.38% BUBBLE 1d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.73% BUBBLE 1d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.35% BUBBLE 12h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.55% BUBBLE 2.3d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

81.3% Win Rate +63.5% Return -3.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees