Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — May 2024 (v4.2 (Theros))
LEGACY · v4.2 (Theros)

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

ADA — May 2024 (v4.2 (Theros)) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.2 (Theros) model.

v4.2 (Theros) 10 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

ADA — May 2024 (v4.2 (Theros)) Performance

Cardano (ADA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
9.20
Alpha vs B&H
+30.34pp
Risk / Reward
30.51×
B&H Return
-2.19%
Max Drawdown
-0.92%
Avg Drawdown
-2.92%
Sharpe Trend
-6.45
Model
v4.2 (Theros)
Full Backtest
ADA

ADA Monthly Returns (legacy v2.5)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025
+84.8%
16t
+98.0%
15t
+34.6%
19t
+46.5%
15t
+39.6%
20t
+41.0%
14t
+1,320.2%
2026
+18.6%
8t
+18.6%

All months for ADA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ADA — May 2024 (v4.2 (Theros)) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
+3.4
9
10
+2.5
11
12
13
+2.2
14
15
16
+4.6
17
+5.5
18
19
20
21
+7.9
22
+0.3
23
24
25
26
-1.1
27
28
29
30
31
0.0
Smart Insights
  • Solid return: +28.2%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • Healthy win rate: 70.0%.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.9%.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +3.63% on 5 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdown

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 5 100.0% +3.63% +19.46% 18h
BUBBLE 5 40.0% +1.42% +7.04% 18h

Trade Log

All 10 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +3.38% BULL 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.46% BULL 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.23% BULL 14h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.55% BULL 1.7d
$0.00 $0.00 +5.52% BULL 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.91% BUBBLE 24h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.34% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.45% BUBBLE 2.4d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.69% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.01% BUBBLE 4h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

70.0% Win Rate +28.2% Return -0.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees