Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — November 2024 (v4.2 (Theros))
LEGACY · v4.2 (Theros)

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

ADA — November 2024 (v4.2 (Theros)) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.2 (Theros) model.

v4.2 (Theros) 18 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

ADA — November 2024 (v4.2 (Theros)) Performance

Cardano (ADA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
19.13
Alpha vs B&H
+95.09pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+207.21%
Max Drawdown
-1.48%
Avg Drawdown
-4.35%
Sharpe Trend
-4.12
Model
v4.2 (Theros)
Full Backtest
ADA

ADA Monthly Returns (legacy v2.5)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025
+84.8%
16t
+98.0%
15t
+34.6%
19t
+46.5%
15t
+39.6%
20t
+41.0%
14t
+1,320.2%
2026
+18.6%
8t
+18.6%

All months for ADA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ADA — November 2024 (v4.2 (Theros)) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
-0.1
4
5
+2.6
6
7
8
+24.5
9
10
+48.6
11
+1.5
12
-1.5
13
+5.1
14
15
+18.5
16
+3.6
17
18
+6.4
19
20
+7.8
21
22
+31.7
23
+0.1
24
+2.6
25
26
+0.7
27
+8.3
28
+4.7
29
30
+2.9
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +302.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 88.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.5%.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +19.94% on 3 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdown

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 15 86.7% +7.22% +162.65% 12h
BULL 3 100.0% +19.94% +69.90% 1.6d

Trade Log

All 18 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 -0.11% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.57% BUBBLE 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +24.52% BULL 2.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +48.61% BUBBLE 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.51% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.48% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.06% BUBBLE 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +18.50% BUBBLE 22h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.57% BULL 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.41% BUBBLE 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.84% BUBBLE 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +31.74% BULL 1.8d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.13% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.61% BUBBLE 10h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.67% BUBBLE 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.35% BUBBLE 21h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.73% BUBBLE 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.87% BUBBLE 20h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

88.9% Win Rate +302.3% Return -1.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees