DOTDOTPolkadot$0.966000+1.15%
24h High$0.97
24h Low$0.95
Volume$3.5M
Updated16:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / DOT / DOT — May 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

DOT Polkadot Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for DOT - Polkadot. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the May 2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 13 trades would have compounded to a final value of $17,976 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain protocol that enables different blockchains to interoperate and share security. Founded by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood, Polkadot uses a unique parachain auction system. DOT price dynamics are influenced by parachain slot auctions, governance proposals, and broader cross-chain adoption trends. Its mid-cap positioning creates opportunities for larger percentage moves compared to mega-cap assets.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ DOT Signals →

DOT — May 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polkadot (DOT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+79.8%
$10,000 →
$17,976
Win Rate
84.6%
11W / 2L
Trades
13
Sharpe
16.29
Alpha vs B&H
+78.04pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+1.72%
Max Drawdown
-0.45%
Avg Drawdown
-2.84%
Sharpe Trend
-4.52
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v5.0 (Kairos) is the current production model (live since 11 May 2026); v4.2 (Theros) was the predecessor; v4.0.1 (Pythia) and v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge during 2025; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+78.89%
▲ +0.87
Win Rate
100.0%
▼ -15.38
Sharpe
16.90
▼ -0.61
Alpha vs B&H
+77.18pp
▲ +0.86
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -0.45
Avg DD
-2.71%
▼ -0.13
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
13
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+76.51%
▲ +3.25
Win Rate
100.0%
▼ -15.38
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +16.29
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +78.04
Max DD
-6.58%
▲ +6.13
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -2.84
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
Open v4.0 page →
V4.2 THEROS THIS PAGE
Return
+79.76%
Win Rate
84.6%
Sharpe
16.29
Alpha vs B&H
+78.04pp
Max DD
-0.45%
Avg DD
-2.84%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
13

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

Day-by-day — DOT — May 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
+23.7
10
+3.7
11
—
12
+1.0
13
+5.8
14
—
15
—
16
+3.4
17
—
18
+5.9
19
—
20
—
21
+6.9
22
+1.7
23
—
24
0.0
25
—
26
+1.5
27
+2.6
28
—
29
+2.9
30
—
31
—

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for DOT over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 13-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+5.40%
Avg Loss
-0.23%
Best Trade
+23.73%
Worst Trade
-0.45%
Avg Bars Held
20.8h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 9 (69%) Signal flip: 4 (31%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +79.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 84.6% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.5%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +7.52% on 5 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 5 100.0% +7.52% +41.70% 1.2d
BUBBLE 8 75.0% +2.67% +23.23% 16h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 May 2025 01:00 09 May 2025 17:00 $3.90 $4.84 +23.73% BULL 3.7d
10 May 2025 06:00 10 May 2025 23:00 $5.10 $5.31 +3.67% BULL 18h
11 May 2025 15:00 12 May 2025 00:00 $5.05 $5.11 +0.95% BULL 10h
13 May 2025 02:00 13 May 2025 18:00 $4.88 $5.17 +5.83% BULL 17h
15 May 2025 22:00 16 May 2025 10:00 $4.76 $4.93 +3.40% BULL 13h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 15:00 $4.62 $4.91 +5.91% BUBBLE 14h
19 May 2025 07:00 21 May 2025 16:00 $4.50 $4.83 +6.87% BUBBLE 2.4d
22 May 2025 05:00 22 May 2025 21:00 $4.81 $4.91 +1.66% BUBBLE 17h
24 May 2025 02:00 24 May 2025 04:00 $4.61 $4.62 -0.01% BUBBLE 3h
25 May 2025 13:00 26 May 2025 00:00 $4.47 $4.57 +1.92% BUBBLE 12h
26 May 2025 13:00 26 May 2025 16:00 $4.49 $4.49 -0.45% BUBBLE 4h
27 May 2025 05:00 27 May 2025 16:00 $4.47 $4.59 +2.60% BUBBLE 12h
28 May 2025 21:00 29 May 2025 00:00 $4.51 $4.65 +2.89% BUBBLE 4h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live DOT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polkadot Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → DOT Signals → View Plans →
84.6% Win Rate +79.8% Return -0.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees