DOTDOTPolkadot$0.966000+1.15%
24h High$0.97
24h Low$0.95
Volume$3.5M
Updated16:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / DOT / DOT — March 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

DOT Polkadot Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for DOT - Polkadot. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the March 2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 19 trades would have compounded to a final value of $12,507 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 19 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain protocol that enables different blockchains to interoperate and share security. Founded by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood, Polkadot uses a unique parachain auction system. DOT price dynamics are influenced by parachain slot auctions, governance proposals, and broader cross-chain adoption trends. Its mid-cap positioning creates opportunities for larger percentage moves compared to mega-cap assets.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ DOT Signals →

DOT — March 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polkadot (DOT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+25.1%
$10,000 →
$12,507
Win Rate
73.7%
14W / 5L
Trades
19
Sharpe
6.72
Alpha vs B&H
+48.19pp
Risk / Reward
6.05×
B&H Return
-23.12%
Max Drawdown
-4.15%
Avg Drawdown
-2.94%
Sharpe Trend
-22.33
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — DOT — March 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
+5.5
3
—
4
+3.6
5
+1.0
6
+0.2
7
—
8
+2.5
9
+3.2
10
+0.8
11
+2.7
12
+0.5
13
—
14
—
15
—
16
+14.1
17
+1.2
18
—
19
-0.2
20
—
21
—
22
-2.3
23
+3.0
24
-2.7
25
—
26
+1.1
27
—
28
—
29
—
30
0.0
31
-2.5

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for DOT over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 19-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+2.80%
Avg Loss
-1.54%
Best Trade
+14.06%
Worst Trade
-2.73%
Avg Bars Held
12.2h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 9 (47%) Short signal: 6 (32%) Stop-loss: 3 (16%) Signal flip: 1 (5%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Solid return: +25.1%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 73.7%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +1.76% on 18 trades, WR 78%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BEAR 18 77.8% +1.76% +35.53% 12h
SIDEWAYS 1 0.0% -0.22% -0.22% 8h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 19 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
01 Mar 2026 17:00 02 Mar 2026 00:00 $1.53 $1.57 +1.80% BEAR 8h
02 Mar 2026 13:00 02 Mar 2026 15:00 $1.51 $1.57 +3.61% BEAR 3h
03 Mar 2026 04:00 04 Mar 2026 08:00 $1.50 $1.56 +3.57% BEAR 1.2d
05 Mar 2026 19:00 05 Mar 2026 23:00 $1.51 $1.53 +1.04% BEAR 5h
06 Mar 2026 18:00 06 Mar 2026 20:00 $1.48 $1.49 +0.23% BEAR 3h
07 Mar 2026 20:00 08 Mar 2026 12:00 $1.44 $1.48 +2.46% BEAR 17h
09 Mar 2026 01:00 09 Mar 2026 05:00 $1.46 $1.51 +3.24% BEAR 5h
09 Mar 2026 18:00 10 Mar 2026 11:00 $1.50 $1.52 +0.75% BEAR 18h
11 Mar 2026 00:00 11 Mar 2026 13:00 $1.49 $1.53 +2.71% BEAR 14h
12 Mar 2026 15:00 12 Mar 2026 21:00 $1.50 $1.51 +0.48% BEAR 7h
15 Mar 2026 02:00 16 Mar 2026 20:00 $1.43 $1.63 +14.06% BEAR 1.8d
17 Mar 2026 17:00 17 Mar 2026 22:00 $1.60 $1.62 +1.15% BEAR 6h
18 Mar 2026 17:00 19 Mar 2026 00:00 $1.56 $1.56 -0.22% SIDEWAYS 8h
22 Mar 2026 12:00 22 Mar 2026 20:00 $1.44 $1.41 -2.25% BEAR 9h
23 Mar 2026 09:00 23 Mar 2026 11:00 $1.42 $1.47 +3.04% BEAR 3h
24 Mar 2026 14:00 24 Mar 2026 17:00 $1.40 $1.37 -2.73% BEAR 4h
26 Mar 2026 10:00 26 Mar 2026 14:00 $1.31 $1.33 +1.06% BEAR 5h
29 Mar 2026 02:00 30 Mar 2026 14:00 $1.27 $1.27 -0.02% BEAR 1.5d
31 Mar 2026 03:00 31 Mar 2026 10:00 $1.25 $1.23 -2.47% BEAR 8h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live DOT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polkadot Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → DOT Signals → View Plans →
73.7% Win Rate +25.1% Return -4.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees