DOTDOTPolkadot$0.966000+1.15%
24h High$0.97
24h Low$0.95
Volume$3.5M
Updated16:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / DOT / DOT — H2 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

DOT Polkadot Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for DOT - Polkadot. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the H2-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 90 trades would have compounded to a final value of $334,330 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 90 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain protocol that enables different blockchains to interoperate and share security. Founded by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood, Polkadot uses a unique parachain auction system. DOT price dynamics are influenced by parachain slot auctions, governance proposals, and broader cross-chain adoption trends. Its mid-cap positioning creates opportunities for larger percentage moves compared to mega-cap assets.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ DOT Signals →

DOT — H2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polkadot (DOT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+3,243.3%
$10,000 →
$334,330
Win Rate
85.6%
77W / 13L
Trades
90
Sharpe
12.43
Alpha vs B&H
+3,249.90pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-6.60%
Max Drawdown
-3.58%
Avg Drawdown
-3.59%
Sharpe Trend
-0.50
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — DOT — H2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for DOT over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 90-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+5.25%
Avg Loss
-1.06%
Best Trade
+59.01%
Worst Trade
-3.01%
Avg Bars Held
19.5h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 46 (51%) Forward-pred: 34 (38%) Trailing stop: 5 (6%) Short signal: 3 (3%) Stop-loss: 2 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +3,243.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 85.6% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 90 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +12.05% on 7 trades, WR 86%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 40 87.5% +5.08% +586.01% 15h
SIDEWAYS 43 83.7% +2.40% +173.71% 20h
BULL 7 85.7% +12.05% +102.76% 1.7d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 90 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Jul 2024 23:00 08 Jul 2024 08:00 $5.91 $6.24 +5.20% SIDEWAYS 10h
08 Jul 2024 21:00 09 Jul 2024 15:00 $5.93 $6.15 +3.41% SIDEWAYS 19h
12 Jul 2024 01:00 13 Jul 2024 19:00 $5.91 $6.30 +6.24% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
14 Jul 2024 08:00 14 Jul 2024 16:00 $6.25 $6.27 +0.09% SIDEWAYS 9h
15 Jul 2024 11:00 16 Jul 2024 01:00 $6.32 $6.49 +2.48% SIDEWAYS 15h
16 Jul 2024 14:00 16 Jul 2024 15:00 $6.41 $6.46 +0.62% SIDEWAYS 2h
17 Jul 2024 04:00 17 Jul 2024 09:00 $6.49 $6.48 -0.42% SIDEWAYS 6h
19 Jul 2024 01:00 20 Jul 2024 04:00 $6.06 $6.36 +4.75% BULL 1.2d
21 Jul 2024 07:00 21 Jul 2024 23:00 $6.26 $6.43 +2.34% BULL 17h
25 Jul 2024 02:00 27 Jul 2024 10:00 $5.65 $5.86 +3.27% BULL 2.4d
01 Aug 2024 04:00 01 Aug 2024 11:00 $5.29 $5.37 +1.26% BUBBLE 8h
02 Aug 2024 00:00 02 Aug 2024 06:00 $5.33 $5.23 -2.14% BULL 7h
04 Aug 2024 16:00 04 Aug 2024 19:00 $4.66 $4.77 +2.01% SIDEWAYS 4h
05 Aug 2024 09:00 05 Aug 2024 15:00 $3.97 $4.24 +6.37% SIDEWAYS 7h
06 Aug 2024 04:00 07 Aug 2024 10:00 $4.38 $4.58 +4.27% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
08 Aug 2024 01:00 08 Aug 2024 03:00 $4.70 $4.74 +0.56% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Aug 2024 01:00 12 Aug 2024 15:00 $4.54 $4.64 +2.13% SIDEWAYS 15h
13 Aug 2024 09:00 13 Aug 2024 17:00 $4.43 $4.60 +3.65% SIDEWAYS 9h
14 Aug 2024 19:00 14 Aug 2024 21:00 $4.38 $4.39 -0.18% SIDEWAYS 3h
15 Aug 2024 21:00 17 Aug 2024 10:00 $4.26 $4.31 +0.82% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
18 Aug 2024 02:00 18 Aug 2024 22:00 $4.39 $4.50 +2.11% SIDEWAYS 21h
19 Aug 2024 16:00 20 Aug 2024 15:00 $4.43 $4.50 +1.13% SIDEWAYS 24h
21 Aug 2024 04:00 22 Aug 2024 22:00 $4.60 $4.65 +0.79% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
23 Aug 2024 11:00 24 Aug 2024 13:00 $4.72 $4.97 +4.97% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
28 Aug 2024 08:00 28 Aug 2024 09:00 $4.35 $4.45 +2.05% SIDEWAYS 2h
28 Aug 2024 22:00 29 Aug 2024 15:00 $4.26 $4.39 +2.80% SIDEWAYS 18h
30 Aug 2024 05:00 30 Aug 2024 15:00 $4.27 $4.15 -3.01% SIDEWAYS 11h
31 Aug 2024 04:00 31 Aug 2024 06:00 $4.31 $4.30 -0.58% SIDEWAYS 3h
01 Sep 2024 23:00 03 Sep 2024 03:00 $4.07 $4.26 +4.27% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
04 Sep 2024 01:00 04 Sep 2024 16:00 $3.98 $4.18 +4.60% SIDEWAYS 16h
06 Sep 2024 19:00 08 Sep 2024 11:00 $3.93 $4.19 +6.45% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
09 Sep 2024 00:00 09 Sep 2024 17:00 $4.16 $4.27 +2.32% SIDEWAYS 18h
10 Sep 2024 16:00 10 Sep 2024 18:00 $4.21 $4.24 +0.42% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Sep 2024 09:00 14 Sep 2024 05:00 $4.14 $4.38 +5.60% SIDEWAYS 2.9d
15 Sep 2024 02:00 15 Sep 2024 04:00 $4.50 $4.48 -0.83% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Sep 2024 10:00 19 Sep 2024 16:00 $4.07 $4.33 +6.00% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
20 Sep 2024 05:00 22 Sep 2024 01:00 $4.36 $4.43 +1.22% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
22 Sep 2024 16:00 22 Sep 2024 18:00 $4.32 $4.33 +0.05% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Sep 2024 07:00 24 Sep 2024 12:00 $4.37 $4.57 +4.32% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
25 Sep 2024 07:00 25 Sep 2024 12:00 $4.61 $4.66 +1.01% SIDEWAYS 6h
26 Sep 2024 01:00 26 Sep 2024 16:00 $4.62 $4.85 +4.76% SIDEWAYS 16h
02 Oct 2024 19:00 05 Oct 2024 12:00 $4.06 $4.20 +3.07% BULL 2.8d
06 Oct 2024 01:00 07 Oct 2024 01:00 $4.16 $4.26 +1.84% SIDEWAYS 1d
09 Oct 2024 14:00 09 Oct 2024 16:00 $4.07 $4.07 -0.28% SIDEWAYS 3h
10 Oct 2024 05:00 12 Oct 2024 10:00 $4.07 $4.24 +4.00% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
13 Oct 2024 02:00 13 Oct 2024 06:00 $4.18 $4.19 -0.24% SIDEWAYS 5h
13 Oct 2024 19:00 14 Oct 2024 22:00 $4.13 $4.40 +6.21% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
15 Oct 2024 21:00 15 Oct 2024 23:00 $4.36 $4.41 +0.74% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Oct 2024 18:00 18 Oct 2024 12:00 $4.17 $4.21 +0.49% SIDEWAYS 19h
19 Oct 2024 01:00 20 Oct 2024 22:00 $4.37 $4.58 +4.56% BUBBLE 1.9d
23 Oct 2024 18:00 23 Oct 2024 20:00 $4.17 $4.21 +0.92% BUBBLE 3h
24 Oct 2024 09:00 24 Oct 2024 21:00 $4.16 $4.22 +1.21% BUBBLE 13h
27 Oct 2024 02:00 28 Oct 2024 09:00 $4.01 $4.22 +4.73% BUBBLE 1.3d
28 Oct 2024 22:00 29 Oct 2024 16:00 $4.14 $4.23 +1.68% BUBBLE 19h
30 Oct 2024 13:00 30 Oct 2024 15:00 $4.16 $4.20 +0.60% BUBBLE 3h
02 Nov 2024 13:00 03 Nov 2024 01:00 $3.83 $3.87 +0.57% BUBBLE 13h
03 Nov 2024 14:00 07 Nov 2024 02:00 $3.70 $4.18 +12.90% BUBBLE 3.5d
07 Nov 2024 15:00 08 Nov 2024 21:00 $4.15 $4.33 +4.25% BULL 1.3d
10 Nov 2024 02:00 10 Nov 2024 13:00 $4.67 $5.33 +13.68% BUBBLE 12h
11 Nov 2024 05:00 11 Nov 2024 23:00 $5.01 $5.71 +13.62% BUBBLE 19h
12 Nov 2024 14:00 12 Nov 2024 18:00 $5.35 $5.41 +0.87% BUBBLE 5h
13 Nov 2024 22:00 14 Nov 2024 00:00 $5.06 $5.01 -1.08% BUBBLE 3h
14 Nov 2024 23:00 16 Nov 2024 22:00 $4.78 $5.67 +18.45% BUBBLE 2d
17 Nov 2024 20:00 18 Nov 2024 22:00 $5.40 $6.05 +11.82% BUBBLE 1.1d
21 Nov 2024 03:00 23 Nov 2024 15:00 $5.55 $8.84 +59.01% BUBBLE 2.5d
24 Nov 2024 11:00 24 Nov 2024 13:00 $8.48 $8.77 +3.00% BUBBLE 3h
25 Nov 2024 02:00 25 Nov 2024 04:00 $8.59 $8.87 +2.95% BUBBLE 3h
26 Nov 2024 09:00 27 Nov 2024 21:00 $8.03 $8.38 +4.16% BUBBLE 1.5d
28 Nov 2024 10:00 30 Nov 2024 01:00 $8.15 $8.70 +6.61% BUBBLE 1.7d
01 Dec 2024 02:00 02 Dec 2024 01:00 $8.72 $9.48 +8.56% BUBBLE 24h
02 Dec 2024 14:00 03 Dec 2024 01:00 $8.96 $10.03 +11.74% BUBBLE 12h
03 Dec 2024 14:00 04 Dec 2024 12:00 $9.52 $11.33 +18.79% BUBBLE 23h
05 Dec 2024 01:00 05 Dec 2024 09:00 $10.00 $10.72 +7.00% BUBBLE 9h
05 Dec 2024 23:00 06 Dec 2024 01:00 $10.37 $10.68 +2.82% BUBBLE 3h
06 Dec 2024 14:00 07 Dec 2024 05:00 $10.52 $10.50 -0.36% BUBBLE 16h
09 Dec 2024 22:00 10 Dec 2024 00:00 $8.50 $8.60 +0.76% BUBBLE 3h
10 Dec 2024 13:00 11 Dec 2024 15:00 $8.38 $9.20 +9.33% BUBBLE 1.1d
13 Dec 2024 19:00 13 Dec 2024 21:00 $9.04 $8.98 -0.88% BUBBLE 3h
14 Dec 2024 18:00 15 Dec 2024 14:00 $8.43 $9.16 +8.40% BUBBLE 21h
16 Dec 2024 12:00 16 Dec 2024 16:00 $8.63 $9.07 +4.92% BUBBLE 5h
19 Dec 2024 02:00 19 Dec 2024 05:00 $7.52 $7.64 +1.40% BUBBLE 4h
19 Dec 2024 21:00 19 Dec 2024 23:00 $7.07 $6.94 -1.97% BUBBLE 3h
20 Dec 2024 12:00 21 Dec 2024 05:00 $6.46 $7.65 +18.25% BUBBLE 18h
22 Dec 2024 02:00 22 Dec 2024 04:00 $6.96 $6.87 -1.76% BUBBLE 3h
23 Dec 2024 00:00 24 Dec 2024 17:00 $6.77 $7.54 +11.06% BUBBLE 1.8d
26 Dec 2024 21:00 27 Dec 2024 09:00 $6.98 $7.25 +3.61% BUBBLE 13h
28 Dec 2024 02:00 28 Dec 2024 22:00 $6.87 $7.15 +3.86% BUBBLE 21h
29 Dec 2024 23:00 30 Dec 2024 01:00 $6.87 $7.04 +2.40% BUBBLE 3h
30 Dec 2024 14:00 30 Dec 2024 18:00 $6.61 $6.88 +3.81% BUBBLE 5h
31 Dec 2024 07:00 31 Dec 2024 09:00 $6.61 $6.71 +1.29% BUBBLE 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live DOT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polkadot Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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85.6% Win Rate +3,243.3% Return -3.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees