DOTDOTPolkadot$0.966000+1.15%
24h High$0.97
24h Low$0.95
Volume$3.5M
Updated16:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / DOT / DOT — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

DOT Polkadot Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for DOT - Polkadot. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q2-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 37 trades would have compounded to a final value of $39,388 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 37 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain protocol that enables different blockchains to interoperate and share security. Founded by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood, Polkadot uses a unique parachain auction system. DOT price dynamics are influenced by parachain slot auctions, governance proposals, and broader cross-chain adoption trends. Its mid-cap positioning creates opportunities for larger percentage moves compared to mega-cap assets.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ DOT Signals →

DOT — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polkadot (DOT) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+293.9%
$10,000 →
$39,388
Win Rate
83.8%
31W / 6L
Trades
37
Sharpe
14.03
Alpha vs B&H
+307.86pp
Risk / Reward
65.86×
B&H Return
-13.98%
Max Drawdown
-4.46%
Avg Drawdown
-3.25%
Sharpe Trend
+4.57
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — DOT — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for DOT over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 37-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.68%
Avg Loss
-0.95%
Best Trade
+23.73%
Worst Trade
-2.75%
Avg Bars Held
21.9h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 19 (51%) Signal flip: 10 (27%) Trailing stop: 3 (8%) Stop-loss: 2 (5%) Short signal: 2 (5%) Take-profit: 1 (3%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +293.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 83.8% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +5.18% on 12 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 12 100.0% +5.18% +82.11% 1.0d
BULL 13 92.3% +4.37% +70.83% 1.1d
BUBBLE 12 58.3% +1.69% +21.86% 15h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 37 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 07:00 07 Apr 2025 14:00 $3.33 $3.62 +8.20% SIDEWAYS 8h
09 Apr 2025 00:00 09 Apr 2025 20:00 $3.36 $3.73 +10.63% SIDEWAYS 21h
10 Apr 2025 14:00 12 Apr 2025 18:00 $3.50 $3.73 +6.04% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
13 Apr 2025 23:00 14 Apr 2025 03:00 $3.67 $3.69 +0.32% SIDEWAYS 5h
16 Apr 2025 01:00 18 Apr 2025 12:00 $3.55 $3.73 +4.84% SIDEWAYS 2.5d
20 Apr 2025 11:00 20 Apr 2025 17:00 $3.83 $3.90 +1.49% SIDEWAYS 7h
22 Apr 2025 01:00 23 Apr 2025 08:00 $3.79 $4.17 +9.36% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
24 Apr 2025 03:00 25 Apr 2025 00:00 $3.98 $4.30 +7.75% SIDEWAYS 22h
28 Apr 2025 01:00 29 Apr 2025 00:00 $4.03 $4.30 +6.32% BULL 24h
30 Apr 2025 14:00 02 May 2025 02:00 $4.08 $4.27 +4.35% BULL 1.5d
06 May 2025 01:00 09 May 2025 17:00 $3.90 $4.84 +23.73% BULL 3.7d
10 May 2025 06:00 10 May 2025 23:00 $5.10 $5.31 +3.67% BULL 18h
11 May 2025 15:00 12 May 2025 00:00 $5.05 $5.11 +0.95% BULL 10h
13 May 2025 02:00 13 May 2025 18:00 $4.88 $5.17 +5.83% BULL 17h
15 May 2025 22:00 16 May 2025 10:00 $4.76 $4.93 +3.40% BULL 13h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 15:00 $4.62 $4.91 +5.91% BUBBLE 14h
19 May 2025 07:00 21 May 2025 16:00 $4.50 $4.83 +6.87% BUBBLE 2.4d
22 May 2025 05:00 22 May 2025 21:00 $4.81 $4.91 +1.66% BUBBLE 17h
24 May 2025 02:00 24 May 2025 04:00 $4.61 $4.62 -0.01% BUBBLE 3h
25 May 2025 13:00 26 May 2025 00:00 $4.47 $4.57 +1.92% BUBBLE 12h
26 May 2025 13:00 26 May 2025 16:00 $4.49 $4.49 -0.45% BUBBLE 4h
27 May 2025 05:00 27 May 2025 16:00 $4.47 $4.59 +2.60% BUBBLE 12h
28 May 2025 21:00 29 May 2025 00:00 $4.51 $4.65 +2.89% BUBBLE 4h
01 Jun 2025 02:00 01 Jun 2025 09:00 $4.07 $4.02 -1.76% BUBBLE 8h
01 Jun 2025 22:00 02 Jun 2025 09:00 $4.06 $3.97 -2.75% BUBBLE 12h
05 Jun 2025 22:00 06 Jun 2025 23:00 $3.83 $3.90 +1.34% BULL 1.1d
07 Jun 2025 12:00 08 Jun 2025 16:00 $4.04 $4.10 +1.37% BULL 1.2d
09 Jun 2025 05:00 10 Jun 2025 08:00 $3.97 $4.12 +3.39% BULL 1.2d
10 Jun 2025 21:00 11 Jun 2025 01:00 $4.26 $4.25 -0.44% SIDEWAYS 5h
11 Jun 2025 23:00 12 Jun 2025 01:00 $4.19 $4.19 -0.30% BUBBLE 3h
13 Jun 2025 01:00 14 Jun 2025 14:00 $3.72 $3.79 +1.41% BUBBLE 1.6d
15 Jun 2025 02:00 16 Jun 2025 15:00 $3.78 $3.94 +3.67% BULL 1.6d
20 Jun 2025 07:00 20 Jun 2025 13:00 $3.54 $3.56 +0.18% BULL 7h
21 Jun 2025 02:00 21 Jun 2025 08:00 $3.45 $3.51 +1.25% SIDEWAYS 7h
21 Jun 2025 22:00 22 Jun 2025 00:00 $3.32 $3.34 +0.41% SIDEWAYS 3h
22 Jun 2025 17:00 24 Jun 2025 14:00 $3.18 $3.46 +8.52% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
29 Jun 2025 02:00 29 Jun 2025 22:00 $3.39 $3.57 +4.73% BULL 21h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live DOT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polkadot Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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83.8% Win Rate +293.9% Return -4.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees