DOTDOTPolkadot$0.955000-0.93%
24h High$0.97
24h Low$0.95
Volume$3.2M
Updated14:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / DOT / DOT — Q3 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

DOT Polkadot Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for DOT - Polkadot. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q3-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 40 trades would have compounded to a final value of $49,410 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 40 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain protocol that enables different blockchains to interoperate and share security. Founded by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood, Polkadot uses a unique parachain auction system. DOT price dynamics are influenced by parachain slot auctions, governance proposals, and broader cross-chain adoption trends. Its mid-cap positioning creates opportunities for larger percentage moves compared to mega-cap assets.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ DOT Signals →

DOT — Q3 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polkadot (DOT) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+394.1%
$10,000 →
$49,410
Win Rate
82.5%
33W / 7L
Trades
40
Sharpe
15.18
Alpha vs B&H
+376.07pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+18.02%
Max Drawdown
-1.02%
Avg Drawdown
-2.92%
Sharpe Trend
-7.00
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — DOT — Q3 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for DOT over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

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▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 40-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.86%
Avg Loss
-0.47%
Best Trade
+18.50%
Worst Trade
-1.56%
Avg Bars Held
26.8h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 22 (55%) Signal flip: 15 (38%) Trailing stop: 2 (5%) Take-profit: 1 (3%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +394.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 82.5% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.0%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +8.34% on 4 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 23 78.3% +2.74% +85.06% 24h
BUBBLE 13 84.6% +4.67% +78.60% 1.1d
BULL 4 100.0% +8.34% +37.19% 1.8d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 40 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 03:00 11 Jul 2025 05:00 $3.34 $3.98 +18.50% BULL 5.1d
12 Jul 2025 01:00 12 Jul 2025 03:00 $3.98 $4.01 +0.42% BUBBLE 3h
12 Jul 2025 16:00 14 Jul 2025 03:00 $3.85 $4.14 +7.31% BUBBLE 1.5d
15 Jul 2025 01:00 16 Jul 2025 14:00 $3.90 $4.17 +6.65% BUBBLE 1.6d
17 Jul 2025 03:00 18 Jul 2025 03:00 $4.10 $4.44 +8.01% BUBBLE 1d
20 Jul 2025 02:00 20 Jul 2025 16:00 $4.38 $4.56 +3.59% BUBBLE 15h
21 Jul 2025 05:00 21 Jul 2025 09:00 $4.54 $4.55 -0.28% BUBBLE 5h
22 Jul 2025 05:00 22 Jul 2025 23:00 $4.39 $4.55 +3.28% BUBBLE 19h
24 Jul 2025 06:00 24 Jul 2025 14:00 $3.94 $4.10 +3.65% BUBBLE 9h
25 Jul 2025 03:00 26 Jul 2025 19:00 $3.93 $4.19 +6.48% BUBBLE 1.7d
27 Jul 2025 08:00 28 Jul 2025 00:00 $4.14 $4.22 +1.58% BUBBLE 17h
30 Jul 2025 12:00 31 Jul 2025 06:00 $3.77 $3.90 +3.12% BUBBLE 19h
01 Aug 2025 14:00 01 Aug 2025 16:00 $3.66 $3.61 -1.56% BUBBLE 3h
03 Aug 2025 02:00 04 Aug 2025 13:00 $3.56 $3.68 +3.12% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
05 Aug 2025 22:00 09 Aug 2025 12:00 $3.60 $4.13 +14.49% BULL 3.6d
11 Aug 2025 22:00 14 Aug 2025 01:00 $3.85 $4.32 +11.67% BULL 2.2d
17 Aug 2025 04:00 17 Aug 2025 15:00 $4.02 $4.17 +3.26% BULL 12h
20 Aug 2025 01:00 21 Aug 2025 01:00 $3.75 $3.91 +3.92% BULL 1d
21 Aug 2025 16:00 22 Aug 2025 23:00 $3.78 $4.18 +10.12% BULL 1.3d
23 Aug 2025 12:00 23 Aug 2025 19:00 $4.15 $4.24 +1.81% SIDEWAYS 8h
24 Aug 2025 10:00 24 Aug 2025 18:00 $4.04 $4.25 +4.88% SIDEWAYS 9h
25 Aug 2025 21:00 27 Aug 2025 04:00 $3.71 $3.92 +5.37% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
28 Aug 2025 01:00 28 Aug 2025 12:00 $3.86 $3.97 +2.57% SIDEWAYS 12h
29 Aug 2025 21:00 29 Aug 2025 23:00 $3.78 $3.77 -0.37% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Aug 2025 13:00 30 Aug 2025 15:00 $3.76 $3.79 +0.58% SIDEWAYS 3h
01 Sep 2025 03:00 01 Sep 2025 08:00 $3.69 $3.85 +3.97% SIDEWAYS 6h
01 Sep 2025 22:00 04 Sep 2025 01:00 $3.65 $3.86 +5.23% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
04 Sep 2025 14:00 05 Sep 2025 12:00 $3.77 $3.89 +2.87% SIDEWAYS 23h
06 Sep 2025 04:00 07 Sep 2025 23:00 $3.86 $4.00 +3.22% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
08 Sep 2025 12:00 09 Sep 2025 13:00 $4.03 $4.17 +3.37% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
10 Sep 2025 07:00 11 Sep 2025 00:00 $4.12 $4.24 +2.80% SIDEWAYS 18h
11 Sep 2025 13:00 13 Sep 2025 08:00 $4.21 $4.50 +6.82% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
15 Sep 2025 15:00 17 Sep 2025 12:00 $4.14 $4.21 +1.09% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
18 Sep 2025 01:00 18 Sep 2025 19:00 $4.45 $4.56 +2.19% SIDEWAYS 19h
20 Sep 2025 03:00 20 Sep 2025 16:00 $4.34 $4.42 +1.62% SIDEWAYS 14h
22 Sep 2025 10:00 23 Sep 2025 21:00 $4.00 $4.01 -0.08% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
24 Sep 2025 10:00 24 Sep 2025 13:00 $4.05 $4.05 -0.22% SIDEWAYS 4h
25 Sep 2025 18:00 27 Sep 2025 20:00 $3.89 $3.88 -0.71% SIDEWAYS 2.1d
28 Sep 2025 02:00 28 Sep 2025 21:00 $3.83 $3.96 +2.92% SIDEWAYS 20h
29 Sep 2025 13:00 29 Sep 2025 15:00 $3.94 $3.96 -0.08% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live DOT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polkadot Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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82.5% Win Rate +394.1% Return -1.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees