FETFETFetch.ai$0.188700-2.58%
24h High$0.20
24h Low$0.19
Volume$10.9M
Updated17:03 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / FET / FET — YTD 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

FET Fetch.ai Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for FET - Fetch.ai. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the YTD 2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 71 trades would have compounded to a final value of $161,515 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 71 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Fetch.ai (FET) combines artificial intelligence with blockchain to create autonomous economic agents that perform tasks on behalf of users. As an AI-crypto narrative leader, FET price is heavily influenced by AI sector sentiment and technology developments. The token shows strong momentum during AI hype cycles and has distinct trading patterns that diverge from the broader market during narrative shifts.

FET — YTD 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Fetch.ai (FET) — year-to-date paper-trade 2026-01-01 → 2026-05-01, single OOS window, model trained on data up to 2025-12-31. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
14.84
Alpha vs B&H
+1,529.21pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-14.07%
Max Drawdown
-3.88%
Avg Drawdown
-3.75%
Sharpe Trend
-5.35
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — FET — YTD 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for FET over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 71-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+5.30%
Avg Loss
-1.41%
Best Trade
+17.85%
Worst Trade
-3.69%
Avg Bars Held
15.5h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 45 (63%) Short signal: 12 (17%) Signal flip: 10 (14%) Trailing stop: 2 (3%) Stop-loss: 1 (1%) Regime exit: 1 (1%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +1,515.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 83.1% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Robust sample: 71 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +4.46% on 49 trades, WR 84%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BEAR 49 83.7% +4.46% +704.42% 15h
SIDEWAYS 22 81.8% +3.50% +110.16% 16h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 71 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
04 Jan 2026 03:00 05 Jan 2026 04:00 $0.25 $0.29 +17.85% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
05 Jan 2026 06:00 05 Jan 2026 12:00 $0.29 $0.29 +0.70% SIDEWAYS 7h
05 Jan 2026 14:00 05 Jan 2026 16:00 $0.28 $0.29 -0.23% SIDEWAYS 3h
06 Jan 2026 09:00 06 Jan 2026 11:00 $0.29 $0.31 +4.37% SIDEWAYS 3h
06 Jan 2026 17:00 06 Jan 2026 21:00 $0.29 $0.30 +2.03% SIDEWAYS 5h
08 Jan 2026 07:00 08 Jan 2026 15:00 $0.27 $0.29 +6.74% SIDEWAYS 9h
08 Jan 2026 18:00 09 Jan 2026 16:00 $0.29 $0.29 +1.58% SIDEWAYS 23h
11 Jan 2026 01:00 11 Jan 2026 17:00 $0.28 $0.29 +3.64% SIDEWAYS 17h
11 Jan 2026 23:00 12 Jan 2026 02:00 $0.29 $0.31 +5.04% SIDEWAYS 4h
12 Jan 2026 21:00 13 Jan 2026 22:00 $0.28 $0.30 +4.68% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
14 Jan 2026 00:00 14 Jan 2026 07:00 $0.29 $0.29 -0.85% SIDEWAYS 8h
16 Jan 2026 05:00 17 Jan 2026 14:00 $0.27 $0.28 +3.60% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
19 Jan 2026 01:00 19 Jan 2026 18:00 $0.24 $0.25 +2.14% SIDEWAYS 18h
20 Jan 2026 18:00 21 Jan 2026 14:00 $0.23 $0.24 +4.17% SIDEWAYS 21h
21 Jan 2026 17:00 21 Jan 2026 19:00 $0.23 $0.25 +5.15% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Jan 2026 20:00 27 Jan 2026 09:00 $0.21 $0.22 +1.99% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
27 Jan 2026 21:00 28 Jan 2026 12:00 $0.23 $0.23 -0.37% SIDEWAYS 16h
01 Feb 2026 02:00 01 Feb 2026 03:00 $0.19 $0.19 +0.33% BEAR 2h
01 Feb 2026 05:00 01 Feb 2026 13:00 $0.19 $0.19 -0.88% BEAR 9h
02 Feb 2026 01:00 02 Feb 2026 15:00 $0.18 $0.19 +3.43% BEAR 15h
02 Feb 2026 20:00 03 Feb 2026 00:00 $0.19 $0.19 -0.19% BEAR 5h
03 Feb 2026 15:00 03 Feb 2026 18:00 $0.18 $0.17 -3.69% BEAR 4h
03 Feb 2026 20:00 03 Feb 2026 22:00 $0.18 $0.18 +0.37% BEAR 3h
06 Feb 2026 01:00 06 Feb 2026 16:00 $0.15 $0.17 +11.59% BEAR 16h
06 Feb 2026 18:00 06 Feb 2026 22:00 $0.17 $0.17 +1.50% BEAR 5h
11 Feb 2026 08:00 12 Feb 2026 09:00 $0.15 $0.16 +4.90% BEAR 1.1d
12 Feb 2026 17:00 14 Feb 2026 20:00 $0.16 $0.18 +17.00% BEAR 2.2d
19 Feb 2026 13:00 20 Feb 2026 20:00 $0.16 $0.17 +4.18% BEAR 1.3d
23 Feb 2026 02:00 23 Feb 2026 11:00 $0.15 $0.16 +3.17% BEAR 10h
24 Feb 2026 12:00 25 Feb 2026 20:00 $0.15 $0.17 +13.57% BEAR 1.4d
26 Feb 2026 16:00 27 Feb 2026 04:00 $0.16 $0.16 +2.00% BEAR 13h
01 Mar 2026 02:00 01 Mar 2026 05:00 $0.16 $0.16 -0.90% BEAR 4h
02 Mar 2026 08:00 02 Mar 2026 15:00 $0.15 $0.16 +5.44% BEAR 8h
02 Mar 2026 19:00 03 Mar 2026 01:00 $0.15 $0.15 -1.85% BEAR 7h
03 Mar 2026 09:00 04 Mar 2026 09:00 $0.15 $0.16 +5.51% BEAR 1d
04 Mar 2026 11:00 04 Mar 2026 19:00 $0.15 $0.16 +2.51% BEAR 9h
08 Mar 2026 03:00 11 Mar 2026 13:00 $0.14 $0.16 +13.83% BEAR 3.5d
11 Mar 2026 17:00 11 Mar 2026 21:00 $0.16 $0.16 +1.48% BEAR 5h
12 Mar 2026 06:00 12 Mar 2026 23:00 $0.16 $0.18 +11.76% BEAR 18h
13 Mar 2026 16:00 14 Mar 2026 03:00 $0.18 $0.18 +1.88% BEAR 12h
15 Mar 2026 02:00 15 Mar 2026 19:00 $0.19 $0.20 +7.06% BEAR 18h
15 Mar 2026 21:00 16 Mar 2026 13:00 $0.20 $0.23 +12.96% BEAR 17h
17 Mar 2026 03:00 17 Mar 2026 08:00 $0.23 $0.24 +3.20% BEAR 6h
17 Mar 2026 13:00 17 Mar 2026 21:00 $0.23 $0.24 +3.92% BEAR 9h
19 Mar 2026 13:00 20 Mar 2026 04:00 $0.20 $0.23 +13.78% SIDEWAYS 16h
20 Mar 2026 06:00 20 Mar 2026 07:00 $0.24 $0.23 -3.42% SIDEWAYS 2h
20 Mar 2026 15:00 20 Mar 2026 21:00 $0.22 $0.23 +3.37% SIDEWAYS 7h
20 Mar 2026 23:00 21 Mar 2026 05:00 $0.22 $0.23 +1.51% SIDEWAYS 7h
23 Mar 2026 01:00 24 Mar 2026 02:00 $0.21 $0.24 +12.54% BEAR 1.1d
24 Mar 2026 04:00 24 Mar 2026 08:00 $0.23 $0.24 +1.71% BEAR 5h
24 Mar 2026 12:00 25 Mar 2026 10:00 $0.23 $0.26 +11.45% BEAR 23h
25 Mar 2026 15:00 25 Mar 2026 19:00 $0.25 $0.26 +5.00% BEAR 5h
27 Mar 2026 14:00 27 Mar 2026 15:00 $0.23 $0.24 +2.40% BEAR 2h
27 Mar 2026 22:00 28 Mar 2026 12:00 $0.23 $0.24 +5.48% BEAR 15h
29 Mar 2026 19:00 30 Mar 2026 05:00 $0.23 $0.24 +5.47% BEAR 11h
30 Mar 2026 07:00 30 Mar 2026 08:00 $0.25 $0.25 +0.16% BEAR 2h
31 Mar 2026 01:00 01 Apr 2026 11:00 $0.23 $0.25 +6.47% BEAR 1.5d
02 Apr 2026 13:00 03 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.22 $0.23 +1.40% BEAR 14h
03 Apr 2026 04:00 03 Apr 2026 14:00 $0.23 $0.24 +4.14% BEAR 11h
05 Apr 2026 09:00 06 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.23 $0.24 +6.43% BEAR 16h
06 Apr 2026 02:00 06 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.25 $0.24 -2.71% BEAR 9h
06 Apr 2026 22:00 08 Apr 2026 06:00 $0.23 $0.25 +9.02% BEAR 1.4d
09 Apr 2026 03:00 09 Apr 2026 17:00 $0.24 $0.25 +4.54% BEAR 15h
09 Apr 2026 19:00 09 Apr 2026 21:00 $0.25 $0.25 +0.44% BEAR 3h
10 Apr 2026 11:00 11 Apr 2026 19:00 $0.24 $0.25 +4.42% BEAR 1.4d
13 Apr 2026 03:00 13 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.23 $0.24 +3.70% BEAR 20h
14 Apr 2026 00:00 14 Apr 2026 06:00 $0.24 $0.24 -1.21% BEAR 7h
15 Apr 2026 04:00 16 Apr 2026 19:00 $0.23 $0.24 +6.17% BEAR 1.7d
17 Apr 2026 11:00 17 Apr 2026 13:00 $0.23 $0.24 +3.52% SIDEWAYS 3h
20 Apr 2026 16:00 21 Apr 2026 14:00 $0.21 $0.21 -0.60% SIDEWAYS 23h
21 Apr 2026 19:00 22 Apr 2026 05:00 $0.21 $0.22 +4.17% SIDEWAYS 11h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live FET signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Fetch.ai Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time FET signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

83.1% Win Rate +1,515.2% Return -3.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees