FETFETFetch.ai$0.188700-2.58%
24h High$0.20
24h Low$0.19
Volume$10.9M
Updated17:03 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / FET / FET — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

FET Fetch.ai Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for FET - Fetch.ai. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q1-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 49 trades would have compounded to a final value of $107,427 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 49 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Fetch.ai (FET) combines artificial intelligence with blockchain to create autonomous economic agents that perform tasks on behalf of users. As an AI-crypto narrative leader, FET price is heavily influenced by AI sector sentiment and technology developments. The token shows strong momentum during AI hype cycles and has distinct trading patterns that diverge from the broader market during narrative shifts.

FET — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Fetch.ai (FET) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
14.26
Alpha vs B&H
+1,043.91pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-69.65%
Max Drawdown
-5.97%
Avg Drawdown
-4.36%
Sharpe Trend
-4.19
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — FET — Q1 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for FET over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 49-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+5.74%
Avg Loss
-2.08%
Best Trade
+15.49%
Worst Trade
-5.11%
Avg Bars Held
17.0h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 24 (49%) Forward-pred: 21 (43%) Short signal: 2 (4%) Stop-loss: 1 (2%) Regime exit: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +974.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 91.8% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +7.03% on 5 trades, WR 80%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 25 96.0% +5.08% +241.99% 20h
BUBBLE 15 86.7% +4.00% +77.59% 12h
BULL 5 80.0% +7.03% +39.44% 16h
BEAR 4 100.0% +7.01% +30.54% 16h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 49 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 13:00 05 Jan 2025 22:00 $1.47 $1.60 +7.84% BUBBLE 10h
08 Jan 2025 13:00 08 Jan 2025 15:00 $1.33 $1.34 -0.26% BUBBLE 3h
08 Jan 2025 17:00 08 Jan 2025 23:00 $1.29 $1.34 +3.46% BUBBLE 7h
09 Jan 2025 13:00 09 Jan 2025 18:00 $1.29 $1.31 +0.67% BUBBLE 6h
09 Jan 2025 20:00 10 Jan 2025 07:00 $1.28 $1.36 +6.08% BUBBLE 12h
10 Jan 2025 09:00 10 Jan 2025 16:00 $1.36 $1.29 -5.11% BUBBLE 8h
10 Jan 2025 18:00 11 Jan 2025 01:00 $1.34 $1.32 -1.80% BUBBLE 8h
13 Jan 2025 13:00 14 Jan 2025 22:00 $1.18 $1.31 +10.75% BULL 1.4d
15 Jan 2025 11:00 16 Jan 2025 02:00 $1.27 $1.36 +7.17% BULL 16h
17 Jan 2025 03:00 17 Jan 2025 16:00 $1.34 $1.40 +4.00% BULL 14h
19 Jan 2025 12:00 19 Jan 2025 14:00 $1.20 $1.28 +5.82% BUBBLE 3h
20 Jan 2025 01:00 20 Jan 2025 07:00 $1.14 $1.29 +12.21% BUBBLE 7h
21 Jan 2025 01:00 22 Jan 2025 00:00 $1.18 $1.31 +10.77% BUBBLE 24h
23 Jan 2025 11:00 24 Jan 2025 09:00 $1.22 $1.24 +1.30% BUBBLE 23h
25 Jan 2025 10:00 26 Jan 2025 02:00 $1.20 $1.21 +0.25% BUBBLE 17h
27 Jan 2025 11:00 27 Jan 2025 21:00 $1.07 $1.12 +4.46% BUBBLE 11h
28 Jan 2025 22:00 29 Jan 2025 07:00 $0.97 $1.02 +4.31% BUBBLE 10h
29 Jan 2025 14:00 30 Jan 2025 21:00 $0.97 $1.05 +7.96% BUBBLE 1.3d
03 Feb 2025 02:00 03 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.66 $0.76 +15.03% BULL 9h
04 Feb 2025 08:00 04 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.77 $0.78 +0.23% BUBBLE 3h
07 Feb 2025 01:00 07 Feb 2025 12:00 $0.72 $0.76 +4.56% SIDEWAYS 12h
08 Feb 2025 11:00 09 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.71 $0.77 +8.90% SIDEWAYS 24h
09 Feb 2025 19:00 10 Feb 2025 00:00 $0.76 $0.77 +1.43% SIDEWAYS 6h
10 Feb 2025 02:00 10 Feb 2025 18:00 $0.74 $0.79 +5.89% SIDEWAYS 17h
12 Feb 2025 03:00 12 Feb 2025 22:00 $0.75 $0.82 +9.18% SIDEWAYS 20h
13 Feb 2025 00:00 13 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.83 $0.82 -1.13% SIDEWAYS 2h
13 Feb 2025 14:00 14 Feb 2025 15:00 $0.77 $0.82 +5.65% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
16 Feb 2025 02:00 16 Feb 2025 11:00 $0.76 $0.81 +5.88% SIDEWAYS 10h
18 Feb 2025 16:00 20 Feb 2025 23:00 $0.72 $0.78 +7.34% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
21 Feb 2025 20:00 22 Feb 2025 18:00 $0.76 $0.80 +5.13% SIDEWAYS 23h
25 Feb 2025 09:00 26 Feb 2025 02:00 $0.63 $0.67 +6.08% SIDEWAYS 18h
26 Feb 2025 18:00 27 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.64 $0.68 +4.55% SIDEWAYS 17h
28 Feb 2025 04:00 01 Mar 2025 00:00 $0.61 $0.65 +6.21% SIDEWAYS 21h
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 23:00 $0.65 $0.75 +15.49% BEAR 22h
04 Mar 2025 13:00 04 Mar 2025 19:00 $0.58 $0.61 +4.42% BEAR 7h
04 Mar 2025 21:00 05 Mar 2025 10:00 $0.60 $0.61 +1.92% BEAR 14h
05 Mar 2025 12:00 06 Mar 2025 10:00 $0.61 $0.65 +5.82% BEAR 23h
07 Mar 2025 14:00 07 Mar 2025 18:00 $0.61 $0.62 +1.40% SIDEWAYS 5h
08 Mar 2025 00:00 08 Mar 2025 07:00 $0.58 $0.61 +4.92% SIDEWAYS 8h
09 Mar 2025 20:00 10 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.52 $0.53 +1.31% SIDEWAYS 13h
11 Mar 2025 00:00 11 Mar 2025 18:00 $0.46 $0.49 +5.83% SIDEWAYS 19h
12 Mar 2025 01:00 12 Mar 2025 11:00 $0.48 $0.50 +4.36% SIDEWAYS 11h
12 Mar 2025 15:00 13 Mar 2025 10:00 $0.49 $0.50 +3.39% SIDEWAYS 20h
13 Mar 2025 19:00 15 Mar 2025 04:00 $0.48 $0.53 +8.36% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
16 Mar 2025 22:00 17 Mar 2025 18:00 $0.50 $0.53 +5.52% SIDEWAYS 21h
18 Mar 2025 14:00 19 Mar 2025 23:00 $0.50 $0.55 +9.33% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
21 Mar 2025 16:00 22 Mar 2025 18:00 $0.50 $0.52 +3.76% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
22 Mar 2025 20:00 25 Mar 2025 09:00 $0.52 $0.57 +8.58% SIDEWAYS 2.6d
30 Mar 2025 22:00 31 Mar 2025 01:00 $0.47 $0.47 +0.88% SIDEWAYS 4h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live FET signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Fetch.ai Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time FET signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

91.8% Win Rate +974.3% Return -6.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees