FETFETFetch.ai$0.186500-4.51%
24h High$0.20
24h Low$0.19
Volume$10.5M
Updated14:43 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / FET / FET — Q4 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

FET Fetch.ai Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for FET - Fetch.ai. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q4-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 63 trades would have compounded to a final value of $165,390 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 63 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Fetch.ai (FET) combines artificial intelligence with blockchain to create autonomous economic agents that perform tasks on behalf of users. As an AI-crypto narrative leader, FET price is heavily influenced by AI sector sentiment and technology developments. The token shows strong momentum during AI hype cycles and has distinct trading patterns that diverge from the broader market during narrative shifts.

FET — Q4 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Fetch.ai (FET) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
15.20
Alpha vs B&H
+1,558.31pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-4.41%
Max Drawdown
-3.96%
Avg Drawdown
-4.61%
Sharpe Trend
-2.67
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — FET — Q4 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for FET over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 63-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+5.99%
Avg Loss
-1.30%
Best Trade
+25.53%
Worst Trade
-2.25%
Avg Bars Held
14.3h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 38 (60%) Forward-pred: 19 (30%) Stop-loss: 3 (5%) Take-profit: 1 (2%) Short signal: 1 (2%) Trailing stop: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +1,553.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 85.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Robust sample: 63 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +20.60% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 52 84.6% +4.52% +848.52% 14h
BULL 2 100.0% +20.60% +45.19% 1.5d
SIDEWAYS 9 88.9% +3.92% +40.50% 13h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 63 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Oct 2024 02:00 06 Oct 2024 04:00 $1.41 $1.39 -2.25% SIDEWAYS 3h
06 Oct 2024 06:00 07 Oct 2024 02:00 $1.39 $1.52 +9.44% SIDEWAYS 21h
07 Oct 2024 10:00 07 Oct 2024 14:00 $1.48 $1.54 +3.77% SIDEWAYS 5h
10 Oct 2024 15:00 11 Oct 2024 21:00 $1.30 $1.42 +8.70% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
11 Oct 2024 23:00 12 Oct 2024 14:00 $1.42 $1.46 +2.79% SIDEWAYS 16h
13 Oct 2024 15:00 14 Oct 2024 19:00 $1.40 $1.52 +7.80% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
15 Oct 2024 12:00 15 Oct 2024 16:00 $1.44 $1.48 +2.47% SIDEWAYS 5h
15 Oct 2024 21:00 15 Oct 2024 23:00 $1.43 $1.47 +2.27% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Oct 2024 12:00 17 Oct 2024 14:00 $1.37 $1.38 +0.27% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Oct 2024 18:00 19 Oct 2024 01:00 $1.35 $1.42 +5.53% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
20 Oct 2024 03:00 21 Oct 2024 01:00 $1.38 $1.46 +5.81% BUBBLE 23h
23 Oct 2024 13:00 24 Oct 2024 05:00 $1.33 $1.37 +3.20% BUBBLE 17h
24 Oct 2024 07:00 24 Oct 2024 13:00 $1.36 $1.35 -0.99% BUBBLE 7h
26 Oct 2024 00:00 27 Oct 2024 16:00 $1.19 $1.27 +5.60% BUBBLE 1.7d
28 Oct 2024 14:00 29 Oct 2024 18:00 $1.24 $1.35 +8.24% BUBBLE 1.2d
31 Oct 2024 05:00 31 Oct 2024 21:00 $1.29 $1.32 +2.09% BUBBLE 17h
31 Oct 2024 23:00 01 Nov 2024 01:00 $1.30 $1.28 -2.08% BUBBLE 3h
03 Nov 2024 15:00 04 Nov 2024 03:00 $1.11 $1.15 +3.09% BUBBLE 13h
04 Nov 2024 07:00 04 Nov 2024 09:00 $1.14 $1.14 -0.93% BUBBLE 3h
04 Nov 2024 20:00 06 Nov 2024 18:00 $1.13 $1.42 +25.53% BUBBLE 2d
08 Nov 2024 18:00 10 Nov 2024 04:00 $1.37 $1.49 +8.55% BULL 1.5d
10 Nov 2024 21:00 12 Nov 2024 00:00 $1.42 $1.63 +13.79% BUBBLE 1.2d
13 Nov 2024 09:00 13 Nov 2024 11:00 $1.29 $1.33 +2.40% BUBBLE 3h
13 Nov 2024 21:00 13 Nov 2024 23:00 $1.25 $1.27 +1.45% BUBBLE 3h
14 Nov 2024 01:00 14 Nov 2024 05:00 $1.25 $1.33 +5.66% BUBBLE 5h
14 Nov 2024 16:00 14 Nov 2024 18:00 $1.26 $1.28 +1.51% BULL 3h
15 Nov 2024 01:00 16 Nov 2024 06:00 $1.22 $1.27 +3.73% BUBBLE 1.3d
16 Nov 2024 08:00 16 Nov 2024 12:00 $1.29 $1.31 +1.38% BUBBLE 5h
17 Nov 2024 03:00 17 Nov 2024 05:00 $1.26 $1.31 +3.38% BUBBLE 3h
17 Nov 2024 21:00 18 Nov 2024 17:00 $1.25 $1.38 +9.69% BUBBLE 21h
18 Nov 2024 19:00 18 Nov 2024 23:00 $1.34 $1.36 +1.30% BUBBLE 5h
20 Nov 2024 03:00 20 Nov 2024 13:00 $1.26 $1.29 +2.12% BUBBLE 11h
21 Nov 2024 03:00 22 Nov 2024 03:00 $1.21 $1.28 +5.45% BUBBLE 1d
22 Nov 2024 15:00 23 Nov 2024 14:00 $1.24 $1.43 +15.66% BUBBLE 24h
23 Nov 2024 19:00 23 Nov 2024 22:00 $1.42 $1.43 +0.32% BUBBLE 4h
24 Nov 2024 12:00 24 Nov 2024 23:00 $1.46 $1.53 +4.54% BUBBLE 12h
25 Nov 2024 23:00 26 Nov 2024 01:00 $1.45 $1.46 +0.31% BUBBLE 3h
26 Nov 2024 13:00 27 Nov 2024 23:00 $1.34 $1.51 +12.37% BUBBLE 1.5d
28 Nov 2024 09:00 28 Nov 2024 21:00 $1.47 $1.72 +16.68% BUBBLE 13h
29 Nov 2024 00:00 30 Nov 2024 13:00 $1.67 $1.91 +14.03% BUBBLE 1.6d
01 Dec 2024 21:00 02 Dec 2024 01:00 $1.80 $1.88 +3.90% BUBBLE 5h
02 Dec 2024 09:00 03 Dec 2024 03:00 $1.78 $1.92 +7.71% BUBBLE 19h
03 Dec 2024 07:00 03 Dec 2024 09:00 $1.87 $1.87 -0.57% BUBBLE 3h
03 Dec 2024 14:00 04 Dec 2024 05:00 $1.86 $1.97 +5.42% BUBBLE 16h
05 Dec 2024 01:00 05 Dec 2024 16:00 $1.80 $2.03 +12.40% BUBBLE 16h
05 Dec 2024 20:00 06 Dec 2024 18:00 $1.95 $2.17 +10.99% BUBBLE 23h
09 Dec 2024 21:00 10 Dec 2024 06:00 $1.69 $1.76 +3.40% BUBBLE 10h
10 Dec 2024 08:00 10 Dec 2024 09:00 $1.72 $1.76 +2.12% BUBBLE 2h
10 Dec 2024 16:00 11 Dec 2024 15:00 $1.62 $1.81 +11.84% BUBBLE 24h
11 Dec 2024 17:00 12 Dec 2024 02:00 $1.83 $1.88 +2.58% BUBBLE 10h
13 Dec 2024 16:00 13 Dec 2024 20:00 $1.77 $1.79 +1.16% BUBBLE 5h
14 Dec 2024 21:00 14 Dec 2024 23:00 $1.70 $1.73 +1.45% BUBBLE 3h
15 Dec 2024 02:00 15 Dec 2024 03:00 $1.74 $1.72 -1.76% BUBBLE 2h
15 Dec 2024 05:00 15 Dec 2024 07:00 $1.72 $1.69 -2.25% BUBBLE 3h
15 Dec 2024 09:00 16 Dec 2024 00:00 $1.70 $1.82 +6.68% BUBBLE 16h
19 Dec 2024 21:00 19 Dec 2024 23:00 $1.30 $1.30 -0.39% BUBBLE 3h
20 Dec 2024 09:00 21 Dec 2024 02:00 $1.21 $1.36 +12.40% BUBBLE 18h
22 Dec 2024 02:00 22 Dec 2024 09:00 $1.27 $1.29 +1.34% BUBBLE 8h
22 Dec 2024 15:00 22 Dec 2024 17:00 $1.26 $1.27 +0.40% BUBBLE 3h
22 Dec 2024 19:00 24 Dec 2024 06:00 $1.26 $1.35 +6.99% BUBBLE 1.5d
26 Dec 2024 21:00 27 Dec 2024 09:00 $1.25 $1.34 +7.10% BUBBLE 13h
27 Dec 2024 11:00 27 Dec 2024 13:00 $1.34 $1.34 -0.46% BUBBLE 3h
30 Dec 2024 15:00 30 Dec 2024 19:00 $1.27 $1.33 +4.47% BUBBLE 5h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live FET signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Fetch.ai Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time FET signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

85.7% Win Rate +1,553.9% Return -4.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees