SHIBSHIBShiba Inu$0.00000471-1.05%
24h High$0.00
24h Low$0.00
Volume$1.5M
Updated18:48 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / SHIB / SHIB — YTD 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

SHIB Shiba Inu Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for SHIB - Shiba Inu. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the YTD 2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 73 trades would have compounded to a final value of $61,849 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 73 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Shiba Inu (SHIB) emerged as a meme coin in 2020 and has evolved into a broader ecosystem including ShibaSwap DEX and Shibarium Layer 2. With an enormous circulating supply, SHIB trades at fraction-of-a-cent prices but achieves significant market cap through volume. Its extreme volatility and community-driven price action require precise entry and exit timing that algorithmic models excel at.

SHIB — YTD 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Shiba Inu (SHIB) — year-to-date paper-trade 2026-01-01 → 2026-05-01, single OOS window, model trained on data up to 2025-12-31. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
12.31
Alpha vs B&H
+540.44pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-21.95%
Max Drawdown
-2.82%
Avg Drawdown
-3.33%
Sharpe Trend
-4.04
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — SHIB — YTD 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for SHIB over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 73-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+3.54%
Avg Loss
-1.14%
Best Trade
+20.62%
Worst Trade
-2.82%
Avg Bars Held
16.6h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 33 (45%) Short signal: 21 (29%) Signal flip: 10 (14%) Trailing stop: 7 (10%) Stop-loss: 2 (3%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +518.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 83.6% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.8%.
  • Robust sample: 73 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.34% on 21 trades, WR 95%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BEAR 52 78.8% +2.54% +256.37% 16h
SIDEWAYS 21 95.2% +3.34% +97.74% 19h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 73 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
04 Jan 2026 02:00 04 Jan 2026 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +10.82% SIDEWAYS 15h
05 Jan 2026 05:00 05 Jan 2026 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +10.07% SIDEWAYS 12h
06 Jan 2026 18:00 06 Jan 2026 22:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.92% SIDEWAYS 5h
08 Jan 2026 10:00 09 Jan 2026 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.52% SIDEWAYS 16h
11 Jan 2026 23:00 12 Jan 2026 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.13% SIDEWAYS 4h
12 Jan 2026 09:00 13 Jan 2026 22:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.02% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
14 Jan 2026 14:00 14 Jan 2026 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.22% SIDEWAYS 3h
15 Jan 2026 20:00 15 Jan 2026 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.31% SIDEWAYS 4h
16 Jan 2026 01:00 16 Jan 2026 21:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.01% SIDEWAYS 21h
16 Jan 2026 23:00 17 Jan 2026 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.52% SIDEWAYS 2h
19 Jan 2026 00:00 20 Jan 2026 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.39% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
20 Jan 2026 14:00 21 Jan 2026 21:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.02% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
23 Jan 2026 01:00 23 Jan 2026 17:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.26% SIDEWAYS 17h
25 Jan 2026 20:00 27 Jan 2026 09:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.12% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
27 Jan 2026 11:00 27 Jan 2026 20:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.46% SIDEWAYS 10h
30 Jan 2026 07:00 30 Jan 2026 12:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.42% SIDEWAYS 6h
01 Feb 2026 02:00 01 Feb 2026 08:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.99% BEAR 7h
02 Feb 2026 01:00 02 Feb 2026 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.53% BEAR 15h
02 Feb 2026 17:00 02 Feb 2026 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 -1.70% BEAR 7h
03 Feb 2026 18:00 03 Feb 2026 20:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.88% BEAR 3h
04 Feb 2026 17:00 04 Feb 2026 20:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.65% BEAR 4h
06 Feb 2026 00:00 06 Feb 2026 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +20.62% BEAR 17h
06 Feb 2026 18:00 06 Feb 2026 22:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.34% BEAR 5h
07 Feb 2026 08:00 07 Feb 2026 18:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.67% BEAR 11h
09 Feb 2026 10:00 10 Feb 2026 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.92% BEAR 15h
10 Feb 2026 10:00 10 Feb 2026 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.42% BEAR 6h
11 Feb 2026 08:00 12 Feb 2026 10:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.40% BEAR 1.1d
12 Feb 2026 12:00 12 Feb 2026 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 -2.82% BEAR 5h
12 Feb 2026 18:00 14 Feb 2026 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +12.73% BEAR 2d
15 Feb 2026 20:00 16 Feb 2026 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.51% BEAR 19h
16 Feb 2026 16:00 16 Feb 2026 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.66% BEAR 8h
19 Feb 2026 12:00 21 Feb 2026 06:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.26% BEAR 1.8d
22 Feb 2026 15:00 23 Feb 2026 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 -1.22% BEAR 10h
23 Feb 2026 02:00 23 Feb 2026 09:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.25% BEAR 8h
23 Feb 2026 18:00 23 Feb 2026 21:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.90% BEAR 4h
24 Feb 2026 11:00 25 Feb 2026 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.33% BEAR 1.3d
26 Feb 2026 19:00 26 Feb 2026 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.41% BEAR 5h
28 Feb 2026 07:00 28 Feb 2026 20:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.35% BEAR 14h
01 Mar 2026 21:00 02 Mar 2026 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.50% BEAR 5h
02 Mar 2026 13:00 02 Mar 2026 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.15% BEAR 3h
03 Mar 2026 03:00 03 Mar 2026 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.59% BEAR 5h
03 Mar 2026 09:00 04 Mar 2026 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 +8.15% BEAR 1.3d
05 Mar 2026 18:00 05 Mar 2026 20:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.32% BEAR 3h
06 Mar 2026 17:00 06 Mar 2026 21:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.52% BEAR 5h
08 Mar 2026 05:00 08 Mar 2026 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.41% BEAR 3h
09 Mar 2026 00:00 10 Mar 2026 11:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.28% BEAR 1.5d
10 Mar 2026 22:00 11 Mar 2026 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.45% BEAR 1.1d
12 Mar 2026 01:00 12 Mar 2026 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.17% BEAR 14h
12 Mar 2026 16:00 13 Mar 2026 10:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.34% BEAR 19h
15 Mar 2026 23:00 16 Mar 2026 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 +6.47% BEAR 9h
17 Mar 2026 13:00 17 Mar 2026 17:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.09% BEAR 5h
19 Mar 2026 13:00 20 Mar 2026 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 +6.79% SIDEWAYS 16h
20 Mar 2026 10:00 20 Mar 2026 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.77% SIDEWAYS 5h
22 Mar 2026 20:00 24 Mar 2026 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.33% BEAR 1.2d
24 Mar 2026 02:00 25 Mar 2026 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.90% BEAR 1d
26 Mar 2026 18:00 26 Mar 2026 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.44% BEAR 6h
27 Mar 2026 14:00 28 Mar 2026 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.00% BEAR 1.1d
29 Mar 2026 09:00 30 Mar 2026 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.09% BEAR 23h
31 Mar 2026 10:00 01 Apr 2026 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.85% BEAR 1.3d
02 Apr 2026 04:00 03 Apr 2026 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.08% BEAR 1.5d
03 Apr 2026 16:00 04 Apr 2026 09:00 $0.00 $0.00 -2.25% BEAR 18h
04 Apr 2026 11:00 05 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.44% BEAR 16h
05 Apr 2026 04:00 06 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.79% BEAR 21h
07 Apr 2026 00:00 08 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.20% BEAR 1.1d
09 Apr 2026 00:00 09 Apr 2026 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 -1.25% BEAR 5h
09 Apr 2026 13:00 09 Apr 2026 17:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.97% BEAR 5h
10 Apr 2026 01:00 10 Apr 2026 19:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.30% BEAR 19h
11 Apr 2026 00:00 11 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.58% BEAR 3h
12 Apr 2026 15:00 14 Apr 2026 05:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.88% BEAR 1.6d
14 Apr 2026 07:00 14 Apr 2026 13:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.11% BEAR 7h
14 Apr 2026 18:00 17 Apr 2026 03:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.20% BEAR 2.4d
17 Apr 2026 06:00 17 Apr 2026 13:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.97% SIDEWAYS 8h
19 Apr 2026 23:00 22 Apr 2026 18:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.34% SIDEWAYS 2.8d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live SHIB signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Shiba Inu Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time SHIB signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

83.6% Win Rate +518.5% Return -2.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees