Paper Trades / DOT / DOT — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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DOT Polkadot Paper Trade

DOT — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 10 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain protocol that enables different blockchains to interoperate and share security. Founded by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood, Polkadot uses a unique parachain auction system. DOT price dynamics are influenced by parachain slot auctions, governance proposals, and broader cross-chain adoption trends. Its mid-cap positioning creates opportunities for larger percentage moves compared to mega-cap assets.

DOT — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polkadot (DOT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.45%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
10W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+86.08%
▼ -1.89
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
15.21
▼ -15.21
Alpha vs B&H
+75.67pp
▼ -75.67
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -3.45
Avg DD
-3.22%
▲ +3.22
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
12
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+84.19%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.45%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
10
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+38.74%
▲ +45.45
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +100.00
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -3.45
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

DOT

DOT Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +73.1%
16t
+69.8%
15t
+37.5%
16t
+64.5%
9t
+78.9%
13t
+24.2%
12t
+86.1%
12t
+85.2%
12t
+4,989.2%

All months for DOT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — DOT — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
+18.5
12
+0.4
13
14
+7.3
15
16
17
18
+15.3
19
20
21
+3.9
22
23
+1.3
24
+3.2
25
26
+5.2
27
+1.2
28
29
30
31
+3.2
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +84.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +5.97% on 10 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 10 100.0% +5.97% +75.93% 1.6d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 10 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 03:00 11 Jul 2025 05:00 $3.34 $3.98 +18.50% BUBBLE 5.1d
12 Jul 2025 01:00 12 Jul 2025 03:00 $3.98 $4.01 +0.42% BUBBLE 3h
12 Jul 2025 16:00 14 Jul 2025 03:00 $3.85 $4.14 +7.31% BUBBLE 1.5d
15 Jul 2025 01:00 18 Jul 2025 04:00 $3.90 $4.51 +15.32% BUBBLE 3.2d
20 Jul 2025 02:00 21 Jul 2025 08:00 $4.38 $4.57 +3.93% BUBBLE 1.3d
22 Jul 2025 05:00 23 Jul 2025 00:00 $4.39 $4.47 +1.34% BUBBLE 20h
24 Jul 2025 06:00 24 Jul 2025 15:00 $3.94 $4.08 +3.18% BUBBLE 10h
25 Jul 2025 04:00 26 Jul 2025 21:00 $3.96 $4.18 +5.22% BUBBLE 1.8d
27 Jul 2025 10:00 27 Jul 2025 23:00 $4.18 $4.24 +1.23% BUBBLE 14h
30 Jul 2025 12:00 31 Jul 2025 09:00 $3.77 $3.90 +3.21% BUBBLE 22h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live DOT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polkadot Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

100.0% Win Rate +84.2% Return -3.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees