Paper Trades / DOT / DOT — August 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

DOT Polkadot Paper Trade

DOT — August 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 12 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain protocol that enables different blockchains to interoperate and share security. Founded by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood, Polkadot uses a unique parachain auction system. DOT price dynamics are influenced by parachain slot auctions, governance proposals, and broader cross-chain adoption trends. Its mid-cap positioning creates opportunities for larger percentage moves compared to mega-cap assets.

DOT — August 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polkadot (DOT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
16.22
Alpha vs B&H
+79.63pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+5.56%
Max Drawdown
-0.37%
Avg Drawdown
-1.57%
Sharpe Trend
+0.96
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+85.19%
Win Rate
91.7%
Sharpe
16.22
Alpha vs B&H
+79.63pp
Max DD
-0.37%
Avg DD
-1.57%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
12
V2.5.8.3
Return
+60.60%
▲ +24.59
Win Rate
84.6%
▲ +7.07
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +16.22
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +79.63
Max DD
-0.14%
▼ -0.23
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -1.57
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

DOT

DOT Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +73.1%
16t
+69.8%
15t
+37.5%
16t
+64.5%
9t
+78.9%
13t
+24.2%
12t
+86.1%
12t
+85.2%
12t
+4,989.2%

All months for DOT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — DOT — August 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
+3.1
5
6
7
8
9
+14.5
10
11
12
13
14
+11.7
15
16
17
+3.3
18
19
20
21
+4.1
22
+10.1
23
+1.8
24
+4.9
25
26
27
+5.4
28
+2.6
29
-0.4
30
+0.3
31
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +85.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 91.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.4%.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +8.38% on 4 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 4 100.0% +8.38% +37.42% 1.8d
SIDEWAYS 8 87.5% +3.48% +31.01% 17h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +3.12% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +14.49% BULL 3.6d
$0.00 $0.00 +11.67% BULL 2.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.26% BULL 12h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.09% BULL 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +10.12% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.81% SIDEWAYS 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.88% SIDEWAYS 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.37% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.57% SIDEWAYS 12h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.37% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.34% SIDEWAYS 4h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live DOT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polkadot Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

91.7% Win Rate +85.2% Return -0.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees