Paper Trades / XAI / XAI — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

XAI Xai Paper Trade

XAI — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 17 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Xai (XAI) is a Layer-3 chain built on Arbitrum specifically for Web3 gaming, allowing seamless in-game asset ownership and trading. Listed in early 2024 with limited but expanding trading history. Price responds to gaming-ecosystem catalysts, major game launches, and broader L3-narrative cycles.

XAI — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Xai (XAI) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
10.40
Alpha vs B&H
+117.90pp
Risk / Reward
13.21×
B&H Return
-39.55%
Max Drawdown
-5.93%
Avg Drawdown
-6.88%
Sharpe Trend
+5.12
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+78.35%
Win Rate
82.4%
Sharpe
10.40
Alpha vs B&H
+117.90pp
Max DD
-5.93%
Avg DD
-6.88%
Risk / Reward
13.21×
Trades
17
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+57.29%
▲ +21.06
Win Rate
73.0%
▲ +9.35
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +10.40
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +117.90
Max DD
-7.73%
▲ +1.80
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -6.88
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open v4.0 page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XAI

XAI Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +78.4%
17t
+63.4%
15t
+48.9%
11t
+96.2%
14t
+138.3%
16t
+61.2%
14t
+94.3%
18t
+95.4%
12t
+12,322.3%

All months for XAI under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XAI — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
+2.0
7
8
-0.9
9
+4.7
10
+4.3
11
-1.1
12
13
-4.9
14
15
+7.6
16
17
+10.0
18
19
+6.9
20
+13.7
21
+2.1
22
23
+2.0
24
+2.9
25
26
+2.0
27
+2.8
28
29
+6.3
30
31
+2.7
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +78.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 82.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +3.95% on 13 trades, WR 92%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 13 92.3% +3.95% +64.27% 14h
BULL 4 50.0% +2.90% +11.33% 24h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 17 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +2.04% BUBBLE 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.95% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.69% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.27% BUBBLE 5h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.11% BULL 8h
$0.00 $0.00 -4.88% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.59% BULL 1.8d
$0.00 $0.00 +10.01% BULL 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +6.85% BUBBLE 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +13.66% BUBBLE 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.05% BUBBLE 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.99% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.92% BUBBLE 10h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.01% BUBBLE 1.6d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.84% BUBBLE 10h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.25% BUBBLE 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.68% BUBBLE 1.2d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XAI signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Xai Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XAI signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

82.4% Win Rate +78.4% Return -5.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees