Paper Trades / CELO / CELO — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

CELO Celo Paper Trade

CELO — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 16 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Celo (CELO) is a mobile-first Layer 1 blockchain originally focused on smartphone-accessible stablecoin payments, transitioning to an Ethereum L2 in 2024. Active since 2020 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to respond to emerging-market-payment partnerships, the L2 migration, and broader mobile-crypto narratives.

CELO — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Celo (CELO) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
12.33
Alpha vs B&H
+84.86pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-24.26%
Max Drawdown
-0.24%
Avg Drawdown
-3.80%
Sharpe Trend
-1.86
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+60.60%
Win Rate
81.3%
Sharpe
12.33
Alpha vs B&H
+84.86pp
Max DD
-0.24%
Avg DD
-3.80%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
16
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+55.64%
▲ +4.96
Win Rate
73.2%
▲ +8.05
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +12.33
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +84.86
Max DD
-4.56%
▲ +4.32
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.80
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+32.03%
▲ +28.57
Win Rate
68.4%
▲ +12.85
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +12.33
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +84.86
Max DD
-0.27%
▲ +0.03
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.80
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
19
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

CELO

CELO Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +52.0%
13t
+60.6%
16t
+76.4%
14t
+57.8%
9t
+100.0%
15t
+22.5%
11t
+107.5%
13t
+71.2%
13t
+5,810.7%

All months for CELO under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — CELO — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
+16.4
4
+5.7
5
-0.2
6
7
+4.8
8
9
+4.2
10
11
+4.2
12
13
+1.6
14
+2.5
15
16
+3.0
17
+2.2
18
19
20
21
+6.4
22
-0.2
23
-0.1
24
25
+3.7
26
27
+2.5
28
+7.8
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +60.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 81.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.2%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.03% on 14 trades, WR 79%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 14 78.6% +3.03% +51.36% 20h
BULL 1 100.0% +16.39% +16.39% 18h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +5.65% +5.65% 11h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 16 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +16.39% BULL 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.65% BUBBLE 11h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.25% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.82% SIDEWAYS 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.21% SIDEWAYS 24h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.20% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.60% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.52% SIDEWAYS 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.98% SIDEWAYS 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.19% SIDEWAYS 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.37% SIDEWAYS 2.5d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.16% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.07% SIDEWAYS 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.69% SIDEWAYS 22h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.49% SIDEWAYS 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.84% SIDEWAYS 16h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live CELO signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Celo Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time CELO signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

81.3% Win Rate +60.6% Return -0.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees