Paper Trades / PEPE / PEPE — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

PEPE Pepe Paper Trade

PEPE — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 17 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Pepe (PEPE) is a meme coin launched in 2023 that rapidly gained market capitalization through viral community growth. With no utility beyond its meme status, PEPE is purely sentiment-driven and exhibits extreme volatility. Our model's regime detection is particularly valuable for PEPE, as it identifies when momentum is building versus when exhaustion signals appear in these high-volatility assets.

PEPE — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Pepe (PEPE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
12.07
Alpha vs B&H
+118.56pp
Risk / Reward
9.03×
B&H Return
-36.28%
Max Drawdown
-9.11%
Avg Drawdown
-7.59%
Sharpe Trend
+1.33
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+82.27%
Win Rate
94.1%
Sharpe
12.07
Alpha vs B&H
+118.56pp
Max DD
-9.11%
Avg DD
-7.59%
Risk / Reward
9.03×
Trades
17
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+71.39%
▲ +10.88
Win Rate
90.9%
▲ +3.22
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +12.07
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +118.56
Max DD
-9.64%
▲ +0.53
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -7.59
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+20.06%
▲ +62.21
Win Rate
91.3%
▲ +2.82
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +12.07
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +118.56
Max DD
-0.68%
▼ -8.43
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -7.59
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
23
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

PEPE

PEPE Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +114.2%
14t
+82.3%
17t
+127.6%
12t
+92.4%
10t
+195.4%
14t
+57.4%
13t
+103.4%
11t
+47.7%
11t
+23,778.7%

All months for PEPE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — PEPE — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
-9.9
4
+1.8
5
+1.1
6
+0.8
7
+4.8
8
9
+6.6
10
+2.4
11
+5.8
12
+5.7
13
14
+9.5
15
16
17
+7.6
18
19
20
+7.3
21
22
23
+4.3
24
25
26
+7.7
27
+2.4
28
+6.7
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +82.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 94.1% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +5.17% on 14 trades, WR 100%.
  • Weakest regime: BULL — avg -4.01% on 2 trades, WR 50%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 14 100.0% +5.17% +101.71% 19h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +1.75% +1.75% 7h
BULL 2 50.0% -4.01% -9.88% 9h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 17 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 -18.21% BULL 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +10.19% BULL 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.75% BUBBLE 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.05% SIDEWAYS 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.78% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.76% SIDEWAYS 14h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.55% SIDEWAYS 24h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.35% SIDEWAYS 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.77% SIDEWAYS 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.72% SIDEWAYS 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +9.55% SIDEWAYS 1d
$0.00 $0.00 +7.58% SIDEWAYS 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.27% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.29% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +7.66% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.35% SIDEWAYS 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.72% SIDEWAYS 10h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live PEPE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Pepe Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time PEPE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

94.1% Win Rate +82.3% Return -9.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees