Paper Trades / THETA / THETA — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

THETA Theta Network Paper Trade

THETA — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 14 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Theta Network (THETA) is a decentralized video-delivery network that uses peer-to-peer bandwidth sharing to reduce streaming-CDN costs. Active since 2018 with deep multi-cycle history including its 2021 peak around the NFT boom. Price responds to streaming-partnership announcements and broader media-narrative cycles.

THETA — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Theta Network (THETA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
14.49
Alpha vs B&H
+123.59pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-35.03%
Max Drawdown
0.00%
Avg Drawdown
-3.61%
Sharpe Trend
-2.73
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+88.56%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
14.49
Alpha vs B&H
+123.59pp
Max DD
0.00%
Avg DD
-3.61%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+78.90%
▲ +9.66
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +14.49
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +123.59
Max DD
-4.61%
▲ +4.61
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.61
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+48.36%
▲ +40.20
Win Rate
84.2%
▲ +15.80
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +14.49
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +123.59
Max DD
-0.22%
▲ +0.22
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.61
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
19
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

THETA

THETA Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +70.0%
13t
+88.6%
14t
+40.6%
14t
+93.9%
10t
+142.6%
14t
+14.7%
7t
+96.2%
14t
+85.1%
12t
+8,725.5%

All months for THETA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — THETA — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
+22.7
4
+5.9
5
6
7
+5.7
8
9
+0.1
10
11
+11.5
12
+7.0
13
14
+4.1
15
16
17
+3.3
18
19
20
+9.0
21
22
+3.5
23
24
25
26
+3.1
27
+0.0
28
+5.6
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +88.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only 0.0%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +4.40% on 12 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 12 100.0% +4.40% +66.63% 20h
BULL 1 100.0% +22.71% +22.71% 18h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +5.92% +5.92% 5h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +22.71% BULL 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.92% BUBBLE 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.71% SIDEWAYS 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.12% SIDEWAYS 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +11.49% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +7.00% SIDEWAYS 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.11% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.39% SIDEWAYS 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.86% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.99% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.47% SIDEWAYS 22h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.10% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.02% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.55% SIDEWAYS 7h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live THETA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Theta Network Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time THETA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

100.0% Win Rate +88.6% Return 0.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees