Paper Trades / SHIB / SHIB — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

SHIB Shiba Inu Paper Trade

SHIB — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 14 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Shiba Inu (SHIB) emerged as a meme coin in 2020 and has evolved into a broader ecosystem including ShibaSwap DEX and Shibarium Layer 2. With an enormous circulating supply, SHIB trades at fraction-of-a-cent prices but achieves significant market cap through volume. Its extreme volatility and community-driven price action require precise entry and exit timing that algorithmic models excel at.

SHIB — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Shiba Inu (SHIB) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
13.11
Alpha vs B&H
+94.11pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-8.90%
Max Drawdown
-0.36%
Avg Drawdown
-3.55%
Sharpe Trend
-3.69
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+85.21%
Win Rate
85.7%
Sharpe
13.11
Alpha vs B&H
+94.11pp
Max DD
-0.36%
Avg DD
-3.55%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+85.37%
▼ -0.16
Win Rate
90.5%
▼ -4.79
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +13.11
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +94.11
Max DD
-5.53%
▲ +5.17
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.55
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+50.76%
▲ +34.45
Win Rate
75.0%
▲ +10.71
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +13.11
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +94.11
Max DD
-1.24%
▲ +0.88
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.55
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

SHIB

SHIB Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +39.4%
18t
+43.9%
12t
+85.2%
14t
+53.6%
10t
+70.8%
15t
+29.7%
8t
+88.4%
14t
+55.2%
16t
+3,597.5%

All months for SHIB under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — SHIB — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
+9.6
3
4
5
+4.5
6
7
+2.1
8
9
10
+8.9
11
12
+9.2
13
14
+8.5
15
16
+4.9
17
18
19
20
21
+5.2
22
23
24
+7.9
25
+2.5
26
27
+2.0
28
-0.1
29
-0.2
30
+0.6
31
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +85.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 85.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.4%.
  • Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +7.05% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 12 83.3% +4.29% +64.53% 23h
BEAR 2 100.0% +7.05% +14.52% 1.1d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +9.57% BEAR 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.52% BEAR 1.6d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.07% SIDEWAYS 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.94% SIDEWAYS 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +9.17% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +8.52% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.90% SIDEWAYS 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.24% SIDEWAYS 2.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +7.92% SIDEWAYS 3.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.48% SIDEWAYS 12h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.02% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.11% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.25% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.63% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live SHIB signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Shiba Inu Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time SHIB signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

85.7% Win Rate +85.2% Return -0.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees