Paper Trades / SHIB / SHIB — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

SHIB Shiba Inu Paper Trade

SHIB — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 18 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Shiba Inu (SHIB) emerged as a meme coin in 2020 and has evolved into a broader ecosystem including ShibaSwap DEX and Shibarium Layer 2. With an enormous circulating supply, SHIB trades at fraction-of-a-cent prices but achieves significant market cap through volume. Its extreme volatility and community-driven price action require precise entry and exit timing that algorithmic models excel at.

SHIB — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Shiba Inu (SHIB) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
9.96
Alpha vs B&H
+61.52pp
Risk / Reward
96.40×
B&H Return
-22.10%
Max Drawdown
-0.41%
Avg Drawdown
-3.99%
Sharpe Trend
+2.71
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+39.43%
Win Rate
94.4%
Sharpe
9.96
Alpha vs B&H
+61.52pp
Max DD
-0.41%
Avg DD
-3.99%
Risk / Reward
96.40×
Trades
18
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+34.79%
▲ +4.64
Win Rate
88.9%
▲ +5.54
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +9.96
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +61.52
Max DD
-5.06%
▲ +4.65
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.99
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+25.13%
▲ +14.30
Win Rate
75.0%
▲ +19.44
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +9.96
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +61.52
Max DD
-0.47%
▲ +0.06
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.99
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

SHIB

SHIB Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +39.4%
18t
+43.9%
12t
+85.2%
14t
+53.6%
10t
+70.8%
15t
+29.7%
8t
+88.4%
14t
+55.2%
16t
+3,597.5%

All months for SHIB under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — SHIB — January 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
+0.6
6
+0.7
7
8
-0.4
9
+1.1
10
11
+1.7
12
13
+3.8
14
15
16
+3.5
17
+7.5
18
+0.9
19
+2.8
20
+3.3
21
+3.8
22
23
+0.8
24
+0.8
25
+0.3
26
27
28
+5.6
29
+0.9
30
31
+0.5
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +39.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 94.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.4%.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +4.13% on 4 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 14 92.9% +1.55% +23.89% 10h
BULL 4 100.0% +4.13% +17.49% 24h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 18 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +0.56% BUBBLE 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.67% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.41% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.13% BUBBLE 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.70% BULL 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.77% BULL 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.54% BULL 1.9d
$0.00 $0.00 +7.52% BULL 14h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.92% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.81% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.30% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.77% BUBBLE 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.84% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.83% BUBBLE 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.29% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.60% BUBBLE 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.94% BUBBLE 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.51% BUBBLE 1.3d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live SHIB signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Shiba Inu Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time SHIB signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

94.4% Win Rate +39.4% Return -0.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees