Paper Trades / THETA / THETA — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

THETA Theta Network Paper Trade

THETA — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 14 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Theta Network (THETA) is a decentralized video-delivery network that uses peer-to-peer bandwidth sharing to reduce streaming-CDN costs. Active since 2018 with deep multi-cycle history including its 2021 peak around the NFT boom. Price responds to streaming-partnership announcements and broader media-narrative cycles.

THETA — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Theta Network (THETA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
18.24
Alpha vs B&H
+136.52pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+6.08%
Max Drawdown
0.00%
Avg Drawdown
-4.63%
Sharpe Trend
+2.90
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+142.60%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
18.24
Alpha vs B&H
+136.52pp
Max DD
0.00%
Avg DD
-4.63%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+136.53%
▲ +6.07
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +18.24
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +136.52
Max DD
-7.76%
▲ +7.76
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -4.63
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+67.15%
▲ +75.45
Win Rate
78.9%
▲ +21.10
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +18.24
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +136.52
Max DD
-4.83%
▲ +4.83
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -4.63
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
19
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

THETA

THETA Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +70.0%
13t
+88.6%
14t
+40.6%
14t
+93.9%
10t
+142.6%
14t
+14.7%
7t
+96.2%
14t
+85.1%
12t
+8,725.5%

All months for THETA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — THETA — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
+3.0
6
7
8
9
10
+36.5
11
+0.8
12
13
14
+6.8
15
16
+3.8
17
18
+7.2
19
20
+6.3
21
+3.4
22
23
+8.3
24
+0.7
25
+1.1
26
+5.8
27
+7.5
28
29
+4.6
30
31
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +142.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only 0.0%.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +10.17% on 5 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 5 100.0% +10.17% +57.06% 1.4d
BUBBLE 9 100.0% +5.00% +54.68% 14h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +2.95% BULL 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +36.51% BULL 3.9d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.81% BULL 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.78% BULL 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.82% BULL 21h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.24% BUBBLE 12h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.25% BUBBLE 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.44% BUBBLE 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.30% BUBBLE 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.74% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.12% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.75% BUBBLE 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.55% BUBBLE 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.59% BUBBLE 10h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live THETA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Theta Network Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time THETA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

100.0% Win Rate +142.6% Return 0.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees