Paper Trades / THETA / THETA — July 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

THETA Theta Network Paper Trade

THETA — July 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Theta Network (THETA) is a decentralized video-delivery network that uses peer-to-peer bandwidth sharing to reduce streaming-CDN costs. Active since 2018 with deep multi-cycle history including its 2021 peak around the NFT boom. Price responds to streaming-partnership announcements and broader media-narrative cycles.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ THETA Signals →

THETA — July 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Theta Network (THETA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+96.2%
€10,000 →
€19,616
Win Rate
85.7%
12W / 2L
Trades
14
Sharpe
14.79
Alpha vs B&H
+80.37pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+15.80%
Max Drawdown
-0.16%
Avg Drawdown
-3.42%
Sharpe Trend
-3.56
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+96.16%
Win Rate
85.7%
Sharpe
14.79
Alpha vs B&H
+80.37pp
Max DD
-0.16%
Avg DD
-3.42%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+100.05%
▼ -3.89
Win Rate
85.4%
▲ +0.31
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +14.79
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +80.37
Max DD
-3.55%
▲ +3.39
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.42
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+69.85%
▲ +26.31
Win Rate
93.8%
▼ -8.09
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +14.79
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +80.37
Max DD
-0.28%
▲ +0.12
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.42
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

THETA

THETA Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +70.0%
13t
 		+88.6%
14t
 		+40.6%
14t
 		+93.9%
10t
 		+142.6%
14t
 		+14.7%
7t
 		+96.2%
14t
 		+85.1%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +8,725.5%

All months for THETA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — THETA — July 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
+3.7
8
—
9
—
10
+8.8
11
+2.7
12
-0.2
13
—
14
+6.3
15
—
16
+9.6
17
—
18
+7.7
19
+1.9
20
—
21
+6.7
22
—
23
+5.9
24
—
25
—
26
—
27
—
28
+8.0
29
+2.6
30
—
31
+4.1
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +96.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 85.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.2%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.54% on 13 trades, WR 85%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 13 84.6% +4.54% +77.08% 22h
BULL 1 100.0% +8.78% +8.78% 2.3d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +3.69% BUBBLE 1d
$0.00 $0.00 +8.78% BULL 2.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.73% BUBBLE 8h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.16% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.33% BUBBLE 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +9.60% BUBBLE 1.7d
$0.00 $0.00 +7.75% BUBBLE 23h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.85% BUBBLE 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.65% BUBBLE 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +5.93% BUBBLE 24h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.07% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.96% BUBBLE 3d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.63% BUBBLE 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.08% BUBBLE 16h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live THETA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Theta Network Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time THETA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → THETA Signals → View Plans →
85.7% Win Rate +96.2% Return -0.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees