Paper Trades / XVG / XVG — July 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

XVG Verge Paper Trade

XVG — July 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 17 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Verge (XVG) is a long-running privacy-focused cryptocurrency that routes transactions through Tor and I2P to obscure user identity. Listed since 2016, XVG has full multi-cycle history including the 2017 and 2021 bull markets. Price action is dominated by privacy-narrative cycles and periodic retail-driven momentum bursts. Lower liquidity creates larger percentage swings.

XVG — July 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Verge (XVG) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
15.53
Alpha vs B&H
+95.80pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+22.56%
Max Drawdown
0.00%
Avg Drawdown
-4.14%
Sharpe Trend
-1.52
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+118.36%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
15.53
Alpha vs B&H
+95.80pp
Max DD
0.00%
Avg DD
-4.14%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
17
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+105.57%
▲ +12.79
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +15.53
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +95.80
Max DD
-4.80%
▲ +4.80
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -4.14
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+56.42%
▲ +61.94
Win Rate
85.7%
▲ +14.30
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +15.53
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +95.80
Max DD
-3.67%
▲ +3.67
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -4.14
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
21
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XVG

XVG Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +131.0%
20t
+81.9%
19t
+98.4%
16t
+116.0%
10t
+183.5%
17t
+80.5%
13t
+118.4%
17t
+80.6%
14t
+36,242.3%

All months for XVG under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XVG — July 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
+1.2
9
+5.2
10
11
+15.6
12
+4.8
13
+3.4
14
15
16
+5.4
17
+4.1
18
19
+5.9
20
+9.5
21
+0.8
22
+3.3
23
24
+2.2
25
26
+5.0
27
28
+3.8
29
+5.1
30
31
+5.6
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +118.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only 0.0%.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.96% on 15 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 15 100.0% +4.96% +105.06% 15h
BULL 2 100.0% +3.21% +6.47% 1.6d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 17 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +1.24% BULL 2.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +5.17% BULL 1d
$0.00 $0.00 +15.58% BUBBLE 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.02% BUBBLE 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.74% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.41% BUBBLE 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.44% BUBBLE 24h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.13% BUBBLE 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.92% BUBBLE 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +9.49% BUBBLE 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.78% BUBBLE 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.31% BUBBLE 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.23% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.96% BUBBLE 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.75% BUBBLE 1d
$0.00 $0.00 +5.06% BUBBLE 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.57% BUBBLE 18h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XVG signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Verge Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XVG signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

100.0% Win Rate +118.4% Return 0.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees