Paper Trades / OXT / OXT — August 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

OXT Orchid Paper Trade

OXT — August 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 12 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Orchid (OXT) powers a decentralized VPN network where users pay providers for bandwidth using a probabilistic nanopayments system. Listed since 2019, OXT has full multi-cycle history including 2021 highs and the subsequent drawdown. Price action is privacy-narrative driven with lower liquidity than mid-caps.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ OXT Signals →

OXT — August 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Orchid (OXT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+66.7%
€10,000 →
€16,672
Win Rate
83.3%
10W / 2L
Trades
12
Sharpe
13.92
Alpha vs B&H
+65.32pp
Risk / Reward
40.24×
B&H Return
+1.40%
Max Drawdown
-1.66%
Avg Drawdown
-2.61%
Sharpe Trend
-45.57
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+66.72%
Win Rate
83.3%
Sharpe
13.92
Alpha vs B&H
+65.32pp
Max DD
-1.66%
Avg DD
-2.61%
Risk / Reward
40.24×
Trades
12
V2.5.8.3
Return
+47.80%
▲ +18.92
Win Rate
78.6%
▲ +4.73
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +13.92
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +65.32
Max DD
-0.97%
▼ -0.69
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -2.61
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

OXT

OXT Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +68.5%
15t
 		+74.6%
16t
 		+62.4%
18t
 		+48.1%
14t
 		+71.0%
14t
 		+48.5%
15t
 		+60.9%
15t
 		+66.7%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +4,718.7%

All months for OXT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — OXT — August 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
+1.5
4
+1.1
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
+7.7
10
—
11
—
12
—
13
—
14
+7.3
15
—
16
+10.2
17
—
18
—
19
—
20
+8.3
21
—
22
+8.4
23
-0.1
24
+0.3
25
—
26
—
27
+7.7
28
+1.4
29
—
30
—
31
-1.7
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +66.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 83.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.7%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +8.34% on 4 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 4 100.0% +8.34% +37.75% 1.9d
SIDEWAYS 8 75.0% +2.33% +19.70% 13h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +1.48% SIDEWAYS 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.06% SIDEWAYS 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.69% BULL 4d
$0.00 $0.00 +7.25% BULL 2d
$0.00 $0.00 +10.15% BULL 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +8.28% BULL 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.43% SIDEWAYS 19h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.06% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.30% SIDEWAYS 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.70% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.39% SIDEWAYS 11h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.66% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live OXT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Orchid Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time OXT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → OXT Signals → View Plans →
83.3% Win Rate +66.7% Return -1.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees