Paper Trades / OXT / OXT — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

OXT Orchid Paper Trade

OXT — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 16 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Orchid (OXT) powers a decentralized VPN network where users pay providers for bandwidth using a probabilistic nanopayments system. Listed since 2019, OXT has full multi-cycle history including 2021 highs and the subsequent drawdown. Price action is privacy-narrative driven with lower liquidity than mid-caps.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ OXT Signals →

OXT — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Orchid (OXT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+74.6%
€10,000 →
€17,461
Win Rate
87.5%
14W / 2L
Trades
16
Sharpe
11.84
Alpha vs B&H
+96.33pp
Risk / Reward
42.73×
B&H Return
-21.73%
Max Drawdown
-1.75%
Avg Drawdown
-3.89%
Sharpe Trend
-5.64
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+74.61%
Win Rate
87.5%
Sharpe
11.84
Alpha vs B&H
+96.33pp
Max DD
-1.75%
Avg DD
-3.89%
Risk / Reward
42.73×
Trades
16
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+72.14%
▲ +2.47
Win Rate
87.5%
≈
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +11.84
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +96.33
Max DD
-4.11%
▲ +2.36
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.89
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+57.86%
▲ +16.75
Win Rate
81.3%
▲ +6.20
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +11.84
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +96.33
Max DD
-0.31%
▼ -1.44
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.89
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

OXT

OXT Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +68.5%
15t
 		+74.6%
16t
 		+62.4%
18t
 		+48.1%
14t
 		+71.0%
14t
 		+48.5%
15t
 		+60.9%
15t
 		+66.7%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +4,718.7%

All months for OXT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — OXT — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
+2.5
3
+15.3
4
+2.1
5
—
6
—
7
+5.1
8
—
9
+10.1
10
—
11
+7.7
12
—
13
+4.6
14
—
15
—
16
+1.1
17
+0.9
18
—
19
—
20
+7.9
21
—
22
+0.3
23
-1.7
24
—
25
—
26
+4.6
27
+2.7
28
+3.5
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +74.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 87.5% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.8%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +8.88% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 12 83.3% +3.67% +53.07% 20h
BULL 2 100.0% +8.88% +18.13% 14h
BEAR 1 100.0% +2.73% +2.73% 9h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +2.05% +2.05% 3h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 16 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +2.48% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +15.27% BULL 21h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.05% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.11% SIDEWAYS 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +10.07% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +7.72% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.62% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.07% SIDEWAYS 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.89% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.95% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.31% SIDEWAYS 5h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.51% SIDEWAYS 8h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.24% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.58% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.73% BEAR 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.47% SIDEWAYS 8h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live OXT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Orchid Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time OXT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → OXT Signals → View Plans →
87.5% Win Rate +74.6% Return -1.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees