Paper Trades / OXT / OXT — June 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

OXT Orchid Paper Trade

OXT — June 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 15 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Orchid (OXT) powers a decentralized VPN network where users pay providers for bandwidth using a probabilistic nanopayments system. Listed since 2019, OXT has full multi-cycle history including 2021 highs and the subsequent drawdown. Price action is privacy-narrative driven with lower liquidity than mid-caps.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ OXT Signals →

OXT — June 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Orchid (OXT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+48.5%
€10,000 →
€14,847
Win Rate
80.0%
12W / 3L
Trades
15
Sharpe
7.24
Alpha vs B&H
+53.96pp
Risk / Reward
35.27×
B&H Return
-5.49%
Max Drawdown
-1.37%
Avg Drawdown
-2.57%
Sharpe Trend
-12.03
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+48.47%
Win Rate
80.0%
Sharpe
7.24
Alpha vs B&H
+53.96pp
Max DD
-1.37%
Avg DD
-2.57%
Risk / Reward
35.27×
Trades
15
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+28.95%
▲ +19.52
Win Rate
85.7%
▼ -5.70
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +7.24
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +53.96
Max DD
-5.18%
▲ +3.81
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -2.57
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+39.17%
▲ +9.30
Win Rate
93.8%
▼ -13.80
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +7.24
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +53.96
Max DD
-0.86%
▼ -0.51
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -2.57
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

OXT

OXT Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +68.5%
15t
 		+74.6%
16t
 		+62.4%
18t
 		+48.1%
14t
 		+71.0%
14t
 		+48.5%
15t
 		+60.9%
15t
 		+66.7%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +4,718.7%

All months for OXT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — OXT — June 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
+4.2
2
—
3
+3.7
4
—
5
+3.5
6
+7.0
7
—
8
+2.2
9
—
10
+3.9
11
—
12
—
13
+5.2
14
—
15
—
16
-1.6
17
—
18
—
19
+0.5
20
+1.7
21
—
22
-1.4
23
—
24
+9.1
25
—
26
-1.2
27
—
28
+0.3
29
+0.7
30
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +48.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 80.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.4%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.67% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 9 88.9% +2.02% +19.39% 15h
SIDEWAYS 4 50.0% +2.63% +10.54% 16h
BUBBLE 2 100.0% +4.67% +9.56% 14h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 15 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +4.19% BUBBLE 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.74% BULL 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.49% BULL 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.04% BULL 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.22% BULL 1d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.90% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +5.15% BUBBLE 16h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.61% BULL 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.50% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.73% BULL 10h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.37% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +9.12% SIDEWAYS 18h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.15% SIDEWAYS 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.34% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.69% BULL 19h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live OXT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Orchid Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time OXT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → OXT Signals → View Plans →
80.0% Win Rate +48.5% Return -1.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees