AMPAMPAmp$0.00052100-1.70%
24h High$0.00
24h Low$0.00
Volume$672,326
Updated16:43 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Backtests / AMP
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

AMP Amp (AMP) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for AMP - Amp. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Apr 2024 → May 2026 across 1 walk-forward cycle (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 1,235 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $178,529. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) • 1 Walk-Forward Cycle • Apr 2024 – May 2026 • $0.00052100 (-1.70%)
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Amp (AMP) is a digital collateral token used by the Flexa payments network to instantly secure merchant transactions while settlement finalizes on-chain. Listed since 2020 with multi-cycle history, AMP price tends to track payments-narrative phases and Flexa partnership announcements. Liquidity is moderate and price action shows distinct mean-reversion patterns between catalysts.

KPIs Equity Curve Price & Trades Regimes Trade Log All Backtests View AMP Signals →

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
2.40
Sortino Ratio
3.49
Profit Factor
1.59
Calmar Ratio
13.96
Win Rate
47.0%
Max Drawdown
-21.5%
Avg Drawdown
-21.49%
Alpha vs B&H
+10,600.4pp
Total Trades
1,235
Exposure
66.5%
Beats B&H
1/1
Cycles
1
AMP

AMP Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
—
—
—
+0.1%
14t
+10.2%
36t
+18.6%
50t
+26.0%
57t
+44.4%
62t
-1.2%
53t
+41.4%
55t
+92.2%
47t
+69.1%
51t
 +981.8%
2025 +42.2%
53t
 		+51.4%
59t
 		+33.0%
50t
 		+34.0%
54t
 		+32.6%
49t
 		-7.3%
50t
 		+6.9%
42t
 		-2.0%
55t
 		-9.0%
45t
 		+17.8%
42t
 		+10.8%
52t
 		-3.1%
53t
 		+468.6%
2026 -3.0%
49t
 		-3.8%
43t
 		-10.9%
43t
 		+11.7%
38t
-3.1%
33t
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
 -10.1%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +1,685.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↓ Large drawdown: -21.5% — expect volatility on capital.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 1235 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +2.41% on 86 trades, WR 67%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: CRASH — avg -0.13% on 361 trades, WR 32%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for AMP over the latest walk-forward cycle (2024-04-22 → 2026-05-20) with every entry (▲) and exit (▼ profitable, ▼ loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 19 63.2% +1.55% 5.24 8.6
BULL 86 67.4% +2.41% 6.81 11.1
BEAR 617 48.3% +0.25% 1.50 10.1

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Apr 2026 – May 2026).

Compound Return
+6.0%
Win Rate
40.0%
20W / 30L
Max Drawdown
-8.6%
€10,000 Invested
€10,599
1.1x return
Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
20 May 2026 14:00 20 May 2026 16:00 $0.0008000 $0.0008000 -0.41% BEAR 3 signal
20 May 2026 07:00 20 May 2026 09:00 $0.0008000 $0.0008000 +0.07% BEAR 3 signal
19 May 2026 17:00 20 May 2026 00:00 $0.0008000 $0.0008000 -0.76% BEAR 8 signal
18 May 2026 18:00 19 May 2026 16:00 $0.0008000 $0.0008000 +1.63% BEAR 23 exit_fp
18 May 2026 08:00 18 May 2026 13:00 $0.0008000 $0.0008000 -1.00% BEAR 6 signal
16 May 2026 20:00 17 May 2026 18:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -1.46% BEAR 23 stop
16 May 2026 01:00 16 May 2026 19:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -1.46% BEAR 19 stop
15 May 2026 15:00 15 May 2026 18:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 +1.87% CRASH 4 signal
15 May 2026 06:00 15 May 2026 14:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -1.46% CRASH 9 stop
14 May 2026 19:00 15 May 2026 04:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 +0.94% BEAR 10 exit_fp
14 May 2026 02:00 14 May 2026 17:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 +0.84% BEAR 16 signal
13 May 2026 00:00 14 May 2026 00:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 +1.73% BEAR 25 exit_fp
12 May 2026 17:00 12 May 2026 23:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -1.46% CRASH 7 stop
12 May 2026 09:00 12 May 2026 16:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -1.46% CRASH 8 stop
12 May 2026 02:00 12 May 2026 08:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -1.46% BEAR 7 stop
11 May 2026 01:00 11 May 2026 16:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -0.63% BEAR 16 signal
10 May 2026 21:00 10 May 2026 23:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 +1.02% BEAR 3 signal
10 May 2026 11:00 10 May 2026 15:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 +0.03% BEAR 5 signal
09 May 2026 15:00 09 May 2026 19:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 +0.58% BEAR 5 signal
09 May 2026 10:00 09 May 2026 12:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 +0.03% BEAR 3 signal
08 May 2026 13:00 08 May 2026 15:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -0.52% BEAR 3 signal
08 May 2026 06:00 08 May 2026 10:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -0.30% BEAR 5 signal
07 May 2026 20:00 08 May 2026 03:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -0.07% BEAR 8 signal
07 May 2026 11:00 07 May 2026 17:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -0.19% BEAR 7 signal
06 May 2026 20:00 06 May 2026 22:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -0.52% BEAR 3 signal
06 May 2026 15:00 06 May 2026 17:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -0.07% BEAR 3 signal
05 May 2026 22:00 06 May 2026 00:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -0.41% BEAR 3 signal
05 May 2026 02:00 05 May 2026 20:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 +2.01% BEAR 19 exit_fp
04 May 2026 11:00 04 May 2026 23:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 +1.08% BEAR 13 signal
04 May 2026 06:00 04 May 2026 09:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -1.54% BEAR 4 signal
03 May 2026 15:00 04 May 2026 02:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 +0.61% BEAR 12 signal
01 May 2026 23:00 03 May 2026 13:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 +1.20% BEAR 39 signal
30 Apr 2026 12:00 01 May 2026 22:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -1.46% CRASH 35 stop
29 Apr 2026 16:00 30 Apr 2026 11:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -1.46% BEAR 20 stop
29 Apr 2026 14:00 29 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -1.46% CRASH 2 stop
28 Apr 2026 21:00 29 Apr 2026 13:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -1.46% BEAR 17 stop
27 Apr 2026 23:00 28 Apr 2026 18:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -1.46% CRASH 20 stop
27 Apr 2026 16:00 27 Apr 2026 21:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 +1.11% CRASH 6 signal
27 Apr 2026 13:00 27 Apr 2026 14:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -1.46% CRASH 2 stop
27 Apr 2026 03:00 27 Apr 2026 05:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 +0.48% CRASH 3 signal
26 Apr 2026 23:00 27 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 +0.57% CRASH 3 signal
23 Apr 2026 07:00 26 Apr 2026 13:00 $0.0009000 $0.0011000 +24.01% BEAR 79 exit_fp
22 Apr 2026 17:00 23 Apr 2026 06:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -1.46% CRASH 14 stop
21 Apr 2026 22:00 22 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 +0.60% BEAR 5 signal
21 Apr 2026 19:00 21 Apr 2026 19:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -1.46% CRASH 1 stop
21 Apr 2026 04:00 21 Apr 2026 18:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -1.46% BEAR 15 stop
20 Apr 2026 18:00 20 Apr 2026 20:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -0.97% BEAR 3 signal
19 Apr 2026 22:00 20 Apr 2026 16:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 +1.54% BEAR 19 signal
19 Apr 2026 15:00 19 Apr 2026 21:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -1.46% BEAR 7 stop
17 Apr 2026 19:00 19 Apr 2026 14:00 $0.0009000 $0.0009000 -1.46% BEAR 44 stop

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47.0% Win Rate Sharpe 2.40 1,235 Trades -21.5% Max Drawdown