Paper Trades / AVAX / AVAX — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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AVAX Avalanche Paper Trade

AVAX — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Avalanche (AVAX) is a Layer 1 blockchain known for sub-second transaction finality and low fees. Its unique subnet architecture allows custom blockchain deployment, attracting both DeFi projects and enterprise users. AVAX price correlates with broader DeFi trends while responding to subnet launches and institutional partnerships. The asset shows strong trending behavior during risk-on periods.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ AVAX Signals →

AVAX — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Avalanche (AVAX) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+62.8%
€10,000 →
€16,281
Win Rate
50.0%
9W / 4L
Trades
13
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-8.82%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
9W / 4L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+63.77%
▼ -0.96
Win Rate
78.6%
▼ -28.57
Sharpe
10.75
▼ -10.75
Alpha vs B&H
+76.75pp
▼ -76.75
Max DD
-1.85%
▼ -6.97
Avg DD
-5.41%
▲ +5.41
Risk / Reward
34.43×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+62.81%
Win Rate
50.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-8.82%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+68.03%
▼ -5.22
Win Rate
93.3%
▼ -43.30
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.19%
▼ -8.63
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

AVAX

AVAX Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +73.9%
13t
 		+85.5%
13t
 		+63.8%
14t
 		+60.8%
12t
 		+95.0%
10t
 		+47.5%
13t
 		+74.7%
13t
 		+91.3%
11t
—
—
—
—
 +8,059.1%

All months for AVAX under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — AVAX — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
+13.8
3
—
4
—
5
+5.2
6
—
7
-1.3
8
+4.7
9
—
10
+0.7
11
—
12
+10.5
13
-0.2
14
+5.2
15
—
16
—
17
—
18
—
19
+6.6
20
—
21
—
22
—
23
—
24
+7.7
25
+0.4
26
—
27
—
28
—
29
—
30
-1.9
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +62.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +9.50% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 11 63.6% +2.94% +36.45% 23h
BEAR 2 100.0% +9.50% +19.71% 24h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 23:00 $21.84 $24.95 +13.77% BEAR 22h
04 Mar 2025 13:00 05 Mar 2025 14:00 $19.58 $20.67 +5.22% BEAR 1.1d
06 Mar 2025 20:00 07 Mar 2025 14:00 $21.11 $20.87 -1.32% SIDEWAYS 19h
08 Mar 2025 09:00 08 Mar 2025 22:00 $19.61 $20.56 +4.68% SIDEWAYS 14h
09 Mar 2025 22:00 10 Mar 2025 08:00 $17.94 $18.10 +0.73% SIDEWAYS 11h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 12 Mar 2025 10:00 $16.16 $17.88 +10.47% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
12 Mar 2025 23:00 13 Mar 2025 08:00 $18.91 $18.90 -0.21% SIDEWAYS 10h
13 Mar 2025 21:00 14 Mar 2025 22:00 $17.97 $18.92 +5.15% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
16 Mar 2025 20:00 19 Mar 2025 14:00 $18.41 $19.70 +6.57% SIDEWAYS 2.8d
21 Mar 2025 09:00 24 Mar 2025 00:00 $18.62 $20.17 +8.05% SIDEWAYS 2.7d
24 Mar 2025 17:00 24 Mar 2025 19:00 $21.41 $21.38 -0.33% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Mar 2025 08:00 25 Mar 2025 12:00 $22.02 $22.15 +0.43% SIDEWAYS 5h
30 Mar 2025 14:00 30 Mar 2025 16:00 $19.33 $19.05 -1.85% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live AVAX signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Avalanche Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AVAX signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → AVAX Signals → View Plans →
50.0% Win Rate +62.8% Return -8.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees