Paper Trades / AVAX / AVAX — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

AVAX Avalanche Paper Trade

AVAX — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 12 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Avalanche (AVAX) is a Layer 1 blockchain known for sub-second transaction finality and low fees. Its unique subnet architecture allows custom blockchain deployment, attracting both DeFi projects and enterprise users. AVAX price correlates with broader DeFi trends while responding to subnet launches and institutional partnerships. The asset shows strong trending behavior during risk-on periods.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ AVAX Signals →

AVAX — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Avalanche (AVAX) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+60.8%
€10,000 →
€16,078
Win Rate
91.7%
11W / 1L
Trades
12
Sharpe
12.97
Alpha vs B&H
+43.36pp
Risk / Reward
21.25×
B&H Return
+17.42%
Max Drawdown
-2.86%
Avg Drawdown
-3.00%
Sharpe Trend
+6.92
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+60.78%
Win Rate
91.7%
Sharpe
12.97
Alpha vs B&H
+43.36pp
Max DD
-2.86%
Avg DD
-3.00%
Risk / Reward
21.25×
Trades
12
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+65.05%
▼ -4.27
Win Rate
93.8%
▼ -2.13
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +12.97
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +43.36
Max DD
-6.27%
▲ +3.41
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.00
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+57.80%
▲ +2.98
Win Rate
93.3%
▼ -1.63
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +12.97
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +43.36
Max DD
-0.09%
▼ -2.77
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.00
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

AVAX

AVAX Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +73.9%
13t
 		+85.5%
13t
 		+63.8%
14t
 		+60.8%
12t
 		+95.0%
10t
 		+47.5%
13t
 		+74.7%
13t
 		+91.3%
11t
—
—
—
—
 +8,059.1%

All months for AVAX under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — AVAX — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
-2.9
8
+4.1
9
+7.5
10
—
11
—
12
+8.2
13
+3.1
14
+2.4
15
—
16
—
17
—
18
+1.6
19
—
20
—
21
+6.9
22
—
23
+12.0
24
—
25
+3.1
26
—
27
—
28
+4.8
29
—
30
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +60.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 91.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.9%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +4.17% on 11 trades, WR 91%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 11 90.9% +4.17% +55.74% 22h
BULL 1 100.0% +4.75% +4.75% 10h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 -2.86% SIDEWAYS 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.10% SIDEWAYS 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.55% SIDEWAYS 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.30% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.75% SIDEWAYS 2h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.08% SIDEWAYS 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.39% SIDEWAYS 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.59% SIDEWAYS 2.6d
$0.00 $0.00 +6.86% SIDEWAYS 22h
$0.00 $0.00 +12.04% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.10% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.75% BULL 10h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live AVAX signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Avalanche Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AVAX signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → AVAX Signals → View Plans →
91.7% Win Rate +60.8% Return -2.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees