Paper Trades / AVAX / AVAX — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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AVAX Avalanche Paper Trade

AVAX — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Avalanche (AVAX) is a Layer 1 blockchain known for sub-second transaction finality and low fees. Its unique subnet architecture allows custom blockchain deployment, attracting both DeFi projects and enterprise users. AVAX price correlates with broader DeFi trends while responding to subnet launches and institutional partnerships. The asset shows strong trending behavior during risk-on periods.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ AVAX Signals →

AVAX — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Avalanche (AVAX) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+38.2%
€10,000 →
€13,821
Win Rate
83.3%
10W / 3L
Trades
13
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.69%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
10W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+47.48%
▼ -9.27
Win Rate
76.9%
▲ +6.38
Sharpe
13.50
▼ -13.50
Alpha vs B&H
+61.46pp
▼ -61.46
Max DD
-2.85%
▼ -0.84
Avg DD
-2.56%
▲ +2.56
Risk / Reward
16.67×
Trades
13
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+38.21%
Win Rate
83.3%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.69%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+18.71%
▲ +19.50
Win Rate
75.0%
▲ +8.30
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-3.02%
▼ -0.67
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

AVAX

AVAX Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +73.9%
13t
 		+85.5%
13t
 		+63.8%
14t
 		+60.8%
12t
 		+95.0%
10t
 		+47.5%
13t
 		+74.7%
13t
 		+91.3%
11t
—
—
—
—
 +8,059.1%

All months for AVAX under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — AVAX — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
-1.8
2
-1.1
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
+10.6
8
+5.3
9
—
10
—
11
+6.8
12
—
13
—
14
+2.9
15
—
16
+2.9
17
—
18
—
19
—
20
+0.4
21
—
22
+1.5
23
+4.8
24
+1.7
25
—
26
-0.6
27
—
28
—
29
—
30
+3.9
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +38.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 83.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +3.67% on 6 trades, WR 83%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 6 83.3% +3.67% +23.67% 21h
BUBBLE 3 66.7% +2.64% +7.94% 1.0d
SIDEWAYS 4 75.0% +1.84% +7.48% 9h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
01 Jun 2025 02:00 01 Jun 2025 09:00 $20.68 $20.42 -1.76% BUBBLE 8h
01 Jun 2025 22:00 02 Jun 2025 06:00 $20.83 $20.65 -1.11% BULL 9h
06 Jun 2025 01:00 07 Jun 2025 14:00 $18.85 $20.89 +10.61% BULL 1.6d
08 Jun 2025 05:00 08 Jun 2025 21:00 $20.28 $21.39 +5.30% BULL 17h
09 Jun 2025 10:00 11 Jun 2025 00:00 $20.79 $22.24 +6.80% BUBBLE 1.6d
13 Jun 2025 02:00 14 Jun 2025 05:00 $18.70 $19.27 +2.88% BUBBLE 1.2d
15 Jun 2025 06:00 16 Jun 2025 09:00 $19.10 $19.74 +2.93% BULL 1.2d
19 Jun 2025 17:00 20 Jun 2025 02:00 $17.95 $18.06 +0.36% BULL 10h
21 Jun 2025 22:00 22 Jun 2025 00:00 $16.69 $16.98 +1.54% SIDEWAYS 3h
22 Jun 2025 14:00 23 Jun 2025 13:00 $16.30 $17.11 +4.77% SIDEWAYS 24h
24 Jun 2025 02:00 24 Jun 2025 06:00 $18.12 $18.45 +1.66% SIDEWAYS 5h
26 Jun 2025 14:00 26 Jun 2025 16:00 $17.29 $17.21 -0.62% SIDEWAYS 3h
29 Jun 2025 02:00 30 Jun 2025 00:00 $17.87 $18.65 +3.94% BULL 23h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live AVAX signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Avalanche Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AVAX signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → AVAX Signals → View Plans →
83.3% Win Rate +38.2% Return -3.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees