Paper Trades / DOGE / DOGE — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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DOGE Dogecoin Paper Trade

DOGE — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 11 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Dogecoin (DOGE) started as a joke in 2013 but has become one of the most recognized cryptocurrencies. With an inflationary supply and proof-of-work consensus, DOGE is driven almost entirely by community sentiment and social media activity. Its extreme volatility during hype cycles creates significant trading opportunities. Our model tracks momentum and sentiment shifts to time entries and exits during DOGE's characteristic pump-and-dump patterns.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ DOGE Signals →

DOGE — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Dogecoin (DOGE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+47.9%
€10,000 →
€14,788
Win Rate
78.6%
8W / 3L
Trades
11
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.53%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
8W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+53.40%
▼ -5.52
Win Rate
81.8%
▼ -3.22
Sharpe
12.31
▼ -12.31
Alpha vs B&H
+51.65pp
▼ -51.65
Max DD
-0.54%
▼ -2.99
Avg DD
-3.01%
▲ +3.01
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
11
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+47.88%
Win Rate
78.6%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.53%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
11
V2.5.8.3
Return
+44.72%
▲ +3.16
Win Rate
86.7%
▼ -8.10
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.28%
▼ -3.25
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

DOGE

DOGE Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +47.3%
19t
 		+54.7%
11t
 		+51.2%
15t
 		+53.4%
11t
 		+122.2%
14t
 		+37.4%
11t
 		+111.1%
12t
 		+90.8%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +6,392.7%

All months for DOGE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — DOGE — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
+14.4
9
—
10
+11.9
11
—
12
+3.8
13
0.0
14
—
15
—
16
-0.5
17
—
18
+1.2
19
0.0
20
—
21
+1.5
22
+9.8
23
—
24
—
25
+6.7
26
—
27
—
28
+1.7
29
—
30
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +47.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 78.6%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +4.86% on 10 trades, WR 70%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 10 70.0% +4.86% +58.79% 23h
BULL 1 100.0% +1.71% +1.71% 8h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 11 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 07:00 08 Apr 2025 08:00 $0.13 $0.15 +14.37% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
09 Apr 2025 01:00 10 Apr 2025 00:00 $0.14 $0.16 +11.86% SIDEWAYS 24h
10 Apr 2025 16:00 12 Apr 2025 02:00 $0.15 $0.16 +3.76% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
12 Apr 2025 15:00 13 Apr 2025 00:00 $0.17 $0.17 -0.04% SIDEWAYS 10h
16 Apr 2025 01:00 16 Apr 2025 03:00 $0.16 $0.16 -0.50% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Apr 2025 18:00 18 Apr 2025 07:00 $0.15 $0.16 +1.19% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
18 Apr 2025 20:00 19 Apr 2025 08:00 $0.16 $0.16 -0.04% SIDEWAYS 13h
20 Apr 2025 13:00 21 Apr 2025 17:00 $0.15 $0.16 +1.49% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
22 Apr 2025 06:00 22 Apr 2025 21:00 $0.16 $0.18 +9.76% SIDEWAYS 16h
24 Apr 2025 04:00 25 Apr 2025 14:00 $0.17 $0.19 +6.74% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
28 Apr 2025 02:00 28 Apr 2025 09:00 $0.18 $0.18 +1.71% BULL 8h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live DOGE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Dogecoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOGE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → DOGE Signals → View Plans →
78.6% Win Rate +47.9% Return -3.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees