Paper Trades / DOGE / DOGE — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

DOGE Dogecoin Paper Trade

DOGE — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 15 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Dogecoin (DOGE) started as a joke in 2013 but has become one of the most recognized cryptocurrencies. With an inflationary supply and proof-of-work consensus, DOGE is driven almost entirely by community sentiment and social media activity. Its extreme volatility during hype cycles creates significant trading opportunities. Our model tracks momentum and sentiment shifts to time entries and exits during DOGE's characteristic pump-and-dump patterns.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ DOGE Signals →

DOGE — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Dogecoin (DOGE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+51.2%
€10,000 →
€15,117
Win Rate
80.0%
12W / 3L
Trades
15
Sharpe
6.68
Alpha vs B&H
+70.34pp
Risk / Reward
16.68×
B&H Return
-19.17%
Max Drawdown
-3.07%
Avg Drawdown
-4.00%
Sharpe Trend
-12.22
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+51.17%
Win Rate
80.0%
Sharpe
6.68
Alpha vs B&H
+70.34pp
Max DD
-3.07%
Avg DD
-4.00%
Risk / Reward
16.68×
Trades
15
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+52.17%
▼ -1.00
Win Rate
61.1%
▲ +18.90
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +6.68
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +70.34
Max DD
-8.58%
▲ +5.51
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -4.00
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+56.03%
▼ -4.86
Win Rate
84.6%
▼ -4.60
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +6.68
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +70.34
Max DD
-0.42%
▼ -2.65
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -4.00
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

DOGE

DOGE Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +47.3%
19t
 		+54.7%
11t
 		+51.2%
15t
 		+53.4%
11t
 		+122.2%
14t
 		+37.4%
11t
 		+111.1%
12t
 		+90.8%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +6,392.7%

All months for DOGE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — DOGE — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
-2.3
3
—
4
-0.8
5
—
6
+1.6
7
+1.7
8
—
9
—
10
+1.1
11
+8.7
12
+1.9
13
—
14
—
15
+5.6
16
—
17
+3.4
18
—
19
+6.4
20
—
21
+0.8
22
—
23
—
24
+9.6
25
+4.5
26
+2.9
27
—
28
—
29
—
30
—
31
-1.2
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +51.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 80.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.62% on 13 trades, WR 92%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: BEAR — avg -1.54% on 2 trades, WR 0%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 13 92.3% +3.62% +57.83% 20h
BEAR 2 0.0% -1.54% -3.06% 17h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 15 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 -2.25% BEAR 13h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.83% BEAR 21h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.63% SIDEWAYS 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.74% SIDEWAYS 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.12% SIDEWAYS 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.69% SIDEWAYS 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.93% SIDEWAYS 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.56% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.35% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +6.41% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.77% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +9.60% SIDEWAYS 3.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.53% SIDEWAYS 14h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.94% SIDEWAYS 2h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.24% SIDEWAYS 4h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live DOGE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Dogecoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOGE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → DOGE Signals → View Plans →
80.0% Win Rate +51.2% Return -3.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees