Paper Trades / DOGE / DOGE — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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DOGE Dogecoin Paper Trade

DOGE — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Dogecoin (DOGE) started as a joke in 2013 but has become one of the most recognized cryptocurrencies. With an inflationary supply and proof-of-work consensus, DOGE is driven almost entirely by community sentiment and social media activity. Its extreme volatility during hype cycles creates significant trading opportunities. Our model tracks momentum and sentiment shifts to time entries and exits during DOGE's characteristic pump-and-dump patterns.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ DOGE Signals →

DOGE — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Dogecoin (DOGE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+109.4%
€10,000 →
€20,941
Win Rate
100.0%
13W / 0L
Trades
13
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.31%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+122.21%
▼ -12.80
Win Rate
100.0%
≈
Sharpe
16.75
▼ -16.75
Alpha vs B&H
+113.00pp
▼ -113.00
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -5.31
Avg DD
-3.66%
▲ +3.66
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+109.41%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.31%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+65.67%
▲ +43.74
Win Rate
93.3%
▲ +6.70
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.28%
▼ -5.03
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

DOGE

DOGE Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +47.3%
19t
 		+54.7%
11t
 		+51.2%
15t
 		+53.4%
11t
 		+122.2%
14t
 		+37.4%
11t
 		+111.1%
12t
 		+90.8%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +6,392.7%

All months for DOGE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — DOGE — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
+1.2
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
+20.0
10
—
11
+16.2
12
+9.6
13
—
14
+5.6
15
—
16
+1.4
17
—
18
+8.6
19
—
20
—
21
+6.0
22
—
23
+1.9
24
+1.1
25
—
26
+2.1
27
+1.6
28
—
29
+3.3
30
—
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +109.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +8.99% on 6 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 6 100.0% +8.99% +65.46% 1.3d
BUBBLE 7 100.0% +3.51% +27.01% 22h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 May 2025 02:00 05 May 2025 08:00 $0.17 $0.17 +1.19% BULL 7h
05 May 2025 21:00 09 May 2025 09:00 $0.17 $0.21 +20.00% BULL 3.5d
09 May 2025 22:00 11 May 2025 02:00 $0.20 $0.24 +16.20% BULL 1.2d
11 May 2025 16:00 12 May 2025 10:00 $0.23 $0.25 +9.60% BULL 19h
13 May 2025 01:00 14 May 2025 02:00 $0.22 $0.24 +5.57% BULL 1.1d
15 May 2025 15:00 16 May 2025 13:00 $0.23 $0.23 +1.35% BULL 23h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 16:00 $0.22 $0.24 +8.56% BUBBLE 15h
19 May 2025 07:00 21 May 2025 15:00 $0.22 $0.23 +5.98% BUBBLE 2.4d
22 May 2025 04:00 23 May 2025 00:00 $0.24 $0.25 +1.94% BUBBLE 21h
24 May 2025 01:00 24 May 2025 10:00 $0.23 $0.23 +1.05% BUBBLE 10h
25 May 2025 09:00 26 May 2025 14:00 $0.22 $0.22 +2.13% BUBBLE 1.3d
27 May 2025 03:00 27 May 2025 13:00 $0.22 $0.23 +1.55% BUBBLE 11h
28 May 2025 15:00 29 May 2025 03:00 $0.22 $0.23 +3.33% BUBBLE 13h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live DOGE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Dogecoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOGE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → DOGE Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +109.4% Return -5.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees