Paper Trades / DOGE / DOGE — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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DOGE Dogecoin Paper Trade

DOGE — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 11 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Dogecoin (DOGE) started as a joke in 2013 but has become one of the most recognized cryptocurrencies. With an inflationary supply and proof-of-work consensus, DOGE is driven almost entirely by community sentiment and social media activity. Its extreme volatility during hype cycles creates significant trading opportunities. Our model tracks momentum and sentiment shifts to time entries and exits during DOGE's characteristic pump-and-dump patterns.

DOGE — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Dogecoin (DOGE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.86%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
9W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+37.39%
▼ -9.00
Win Rate
90.9%
▼ -4.21
Sharpe
10.25
▼ -10.25
Alpha vs B&H
+51.47pp
▼ -51.47
Max DD
-0.06%
▼ -3.80
Avg DD
-2.72%
▲ +2.72
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
11
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+28.39%
Win Rate
86.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.86%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
11
V2.5.8.3
Return
+17.00%
▲ +11.39
Win Rate
87.5%
▼ -0.80
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-1.89%
▼ -1.97
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
8
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

DOGE

DOGE Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +47.3%
19t
+54.7%
11t
+51.2%
15t
+53.4%
11t
+122.2%
14t
+37.4%
11t
+111.1%
12t
+90.8%
13t
+6,392.7%

All months for DOGE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — DOGE — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
+0.8
3
4
5
6
7
8
+6.5
9
10
+2.3
11
-0.4
12
13
14
+2.3
15
16
+1.3
17
18
19
+2.1
20
21
22
23
24
+9.3
25
+0.4
26
27
-0.1
28
29
30
+3.0
Smart Insights
  • Solid return: +28.4%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • High win rate: 86.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +4.01% on 3 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 6 83.3% +2.27% +14.26% 1.3d
SIDEWAYS 3 100.0% +4.01% +12.29% 1.2d
BUBBLE 2 50.0% +0.95% +1.89% 17h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 11 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
01 Jun 2025 02:00 02 Jun 2025 20:00 $0.19 $0.19 +0.84% BULL 1.8d
05 Jun 2025 21:00 08 Jun 2025 03:00 $0.17 $0.18 +6.46% BULL 2.3d
08 Jun 2025 16:00 10 Jun 2025 08:00 $0.19 $0.19 +2.31% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
10 Jun 2025 22:00 11 Jun 2025 00:00 $0.20 $0.20 -0.40% BUBBLE 3h
13 Jun 2025 01:00 14 Jun 2025 06:00 $0.17 $0.18 +2.30% BUBBLE 1.3d
15 Jun 2025 09:00 16 Jun 2025 11:00 $0.17 $0.18 +1.30% BULL 1.1d
17 Jun 2025 17:00 19 Jun 2025 05:00 $0.17 $0.17 +2.10% BULL 1.5d
22 Jun 2025 14:00 24 Jun 2025 04:00 $0.15 $0.16 +9.28% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
24 Jun 2025 17:00 25 Jun 2025 00:00 $0.16 $0.17 +0.43% SIDEWAYS 8h
27 Jun 2025 01:00 27 Jun 2025 08:00 $0.16 $0.16 -0.06% BULL 8h
29 Jun 2025 02:00 30 Jun 2025 01:00 $0.16 $0.17 +2.97% BULL 24h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live DOGE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Dogecoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOGE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

86.7% Win Rate +28.4% Return -3.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees