Paper Trades / DOT / DOT — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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DOT Polkadot Paper Trade

DOT — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain protocol that enables different blockchains to interoperate and share security. Founded by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood, Polkadot uses a unique parachain auction system. DOT price dynamics are influenced by parachain slot auctions, governance proposals, and broader cross-chain adoption trends. Its mid-cap positioning creates opportunities for larger percentage moves compared to mega-cap assets.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ DOT Signals →

DOT — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polkadot (DOT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+65.5%
€10,000 →
€16,553
Win Rate
92.9%
13W / 1L
Trades
14
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.57%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+73.07%
▼ -7.54
Win Rate
87.5%
▲ +5.40
Sharpe
13.93
▼ -13.93
Alpha vs B&H
+91.31pp
▼ -91.31
Max DD
-1.02%
▼ -3.55
Avg DD
-3.49%
▲ +3.49
Risk / Reward
71.30×
Trades
16
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+65.53%
Win Rate
92.9%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.57%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+20.52%
▲ +45.01
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +92.90
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -4.57
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

DOT

DOT Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +73.1%
16t
 		+69.8%
15t
 		+37.5%
16t
 		+64.5%
9t
 		+78.9%
13t
 		+24.2%
12t
 		+86.1%
12t
 		+85.2%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +4,989.2%

All months for DOT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — DOT — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
+4.1
7
—
8
+0.1
9
+2.2
10
—
11
+2.9
12
—
13
—
14
—
15
—
16
+13.7
17
+0.8
18
—
19
+3.7
20
+7.7
21
+7.6
22
—
23
—
24
+2.1
25
—
26
—
27
—
28
+3.1
29
+1.0
30
—
31
+3.8
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +65.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 92.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +5.78% on 3 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 11 90.9% +3.22% +41.30% 14h
BULL 3 100.0% +5.78% +17.86% 1.8d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 09:00 06 Jan 2025 15:00 $7.54 $7.88 +4.05% BUBBLE 1.3d
08 Jan 2025 07:00 08 Jan 2025 09:00 $6.87 $6.90 +0.11% BUBBLE 3h
08 Jan 2025 22:00 09 Jan 2025 01:00 $6.79 $6.79 -0.23% BUBBLE 4h
09 Jan 2025 14:00 09 Jan 2025 16:00 $6.62 $6.80 +2.48% BUBBLE 3h
10 Jan 2025 05:00 11 Jan 2025 21:00 $6.65 $6.86 +2.90% BULL 1.7d
13 Jan 2025 11:00 16 Jan 2025 08:00 $6.06 $6.91 +13.69% BULL 2.9d
17 Jan 2025 01:00 17 Jan 2025 15:00 $7.34 $7.41 +0.75% BULL 15h
19 Jan 2025 12:00 19 Jan 2025 14:00 $6.58 $6.86 +3.74% BUBBLE 3h
20 Jan 2025 03:00 20 Jan 2025 08:00 $6.30 $6.81 +7.68% BUBBLE 6h
21 Jan 2025 01:00 21 Jan 2025 17:00 $6.29 $6.78 +7.59% BUBBLE 17h
23 Jan 2025 11:00 24 Jan 2025 11:00 $6.31 $6.46 +2.12% BUBBLE 1d
27 Jan 2025 07:00 28 Jan 2025 01:00 $5.70 $5.89 +3.13% BUBBLE 19h
29 Jan 2025 01:00 29 Jan 2025 08:00 $5.74 $5.81 +0.99% BUBBLE 8h
29 Jan 2025 21:00 31 Jan 2025 03:00 $5.84 $6.07 +3.79% BUBBLE 1.3d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live DOT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polkadot Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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92.9% Win Rate +65.5% Return -4.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees