Paper Trades / DOT / DOT — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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DOT Polkadot Paper Trade

DOT — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain protocol that enables different blockchains to interoperate and share security. Founded by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood, Polkadot uses a unique parachain auction system. DOT price dynamics are influenced by parachain slot auctions, governance proposals, and broader cross-chain adoption trends. Its mid-cap positioning creates opportunities for larger percentage moves compared to mega-cap assets.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ DOT Signals →

DOT — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polkadot (DOT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+69.1%
€10,000 →
€16,907
Win Rate
85.7%
12W / 2L
Trades
14
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.37%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+69.82%
▼ -0.75
Win Rate
80.0%
▲ +5.70
Sharpe
14.56
▼ -14.56
Alpha vs B&H
+91.32pp
▼ -91.32
Max DD
-1.12%
▼ -2.25
Avg DD
-2.34%
▲ +2.34
Risk / Reward
62.39×
Trades
15
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+69.07%
Win Rate
85.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.37%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+32.17%
▲ +36.90
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +85.70
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -3.37
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

DOT

DOT Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +73.1%
16t
 		+69.8%
15t
 		+37.5%
16t
 		+64.5%
9t
 		+78.9%
13t
 		+24.2%
12t
 		+86.1%
12t
 		+85.2%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +4,989.2%

All months for DOT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — DOT — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
+20.1
5
—
6
—
7
+5.4
8
—
9
+4.0
10
—
11
+8.7
12
—
13
+8.9
14
+1.7
15
—
16
+0.6
17
+1.5
18
-0.7
19
—
20
+5.8
21
+0.8
22
—
23
—
24
—
25
—
26
+10.2
27
+3.4
28
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +69.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 85.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.87% on 13 trades, WR 85%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 13 84.6% +3.87% +62.39% 17h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +20.13% +20.13% 24h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
03 Feb 2025 01:00 04 Feb 2025 00:00 $4.25 $5.12 +20.13% BUBBLE 24h
06 Feb 2025 20:00 07 Feb 2025 13:00 $4.58 $4.85 +5.44% SIDEWAYS 18h
08 Feb 2025 02:00 09 Feb 2025 08:00 $4.60 $4.80 +4.01% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
09 Feb 2025 21:00 11 Feb 2025 03:00 $4.57 $4.99 +8.69% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
11 Feb 2025 19:00 13 Feb 2025 01:00 $4.77 $5.26 +10.11% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
13 Feb 2025 15:00 13 Feb 2025 17:00 $5.16 $5.12 -1.12% SIDEWAYS 3h
14 Feb 2025 07:00 14 Feb 2025 09:00 $5.18 $5.27 +1.66% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Feb 2025 09:00 16 Feb 2025 11:00 $4.97 $5.01 +0.57% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Feb 2025 05:00 17 Feb 2025 09:00 $4.85 $4.94 +1.46% SIDEWAYS 5h
18 Feb 2025 09:00 18 Feb 2025 11:00 $4.79 $4.77 -0.66% SIDEWAYS 3h
19 Feb 2025 00:00 20 Feb 2025 18:00 $4.74 $5.02 +5.77% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
21 Feb 2025 20:00 21 Feb 2025 22:00 $5.04 $5.09 +0.84% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Feb 2025 01:00 26 Feb 2025 14:00 $4.37 $4.83 +10.16% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
27 Feb 2025 05:00 27 Feb 2025 09:00 $4.88 $5.06 +3.35% SIDEWAYS 5h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live DOT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polkadot Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → DOT Signals → View Plans →
85.7% Win Rate +69.1% Return -3.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees