Paper Trades / DOT / DOT — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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DOT Polkadot Paper Trade

DOT — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 15 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain protocol that enables different blockchains to interoperate and share security. Founded by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood, Polkadot uses a unique parachain auction system. DOT price dynamics are influenced by parachain slot auctions, governance proposals, and broader cross-chain adoption trends. Its mid-cap positioning creates opportunities for larger percentage moves compared to mega-cap assets.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ DOT Signals →

DOT — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polkadot (DOT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+36.3%
€10,000 →
€13,634
Win Rate
61.1%
12W / 3L
Trades
15
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-6.91%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+37.45%
▼ -1.11
Win Rate
81.3%
▼ -20.15
Sharpe
7.69
▼ -7.69
Alpha vs B&H
+51.40pp
▼ -51.40
Max DD
-2.25%
▼ -4.66
Avg DD
-4.25%
▲ +4.25
Risk / Reward
16.61×
Trades
16
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+36.34%
Win Rate
61.1%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-6.91%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+21.64%
▲ +14.70
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +61.10
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -6.91
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

DOT

DOT Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +73.1%
16t
 		+69.8%
15t
 		+37.5%
16t
 		+64.5%
9t
 		+78.9%
13t
 		+24.2%
12t
 		+86.1%
12t
 		+85.2%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +4,989.2%

All months for DOT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — DOT — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
-2.3
3
—
4
—
5
+2.1
6
—
7
+3.4
8
—
9
—
10
+3.4
11
+4.7
12
—
13
—
14
—
15
+7.8
16
—
17
—
18
+1.4
19
+2.3
20
—
21
—
22
+1.8
23
—
24
+6.3
25
+0.2
26
+1.7
27
+0.6
28
—
29
—
30
-0.1
31
-0.1
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +36.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 61.1%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +2.57% on 13 trades, WR 85%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: BEAR — avg -0.10% on 2 trades, WR 50%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 13 84.6% +2.57% +38.60% 20h
BEAR 2 50.0% -0.10% -0.24% 21h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 15 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 14:00 $4.68 $4.60 -2.25% BEAR 13h
04 Mar 2025 10:00 05 Mar 2025 14:00 $4.24 $4.35 +2.06% BEAR 1.2d
06 Mar 2025 21:00 07 Mar 2025 13:00 $4.43 $4.60 +3.40% SIDEWAYS 17h
09 Mar 2025 22:00 10 Mar 2025 07:00 $4.02 $4.17 +3.40% SIDEWAYS 10h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 11 Mar 2025 20:00 $3.89 $4.08 +4.68% SIDEWAYS 20h
13 Mar 2025 14:00 15 Mar 2025 09:00 $3.99 $4.31 +7.83% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
16 Mar 2025 10:00 18 Mar 2025 08:00 $4.25 $4.34 +1.41% SIDEWAYS 2d
18 Mar 2025 21:00 19 Mar 2025 16:00 $4.42 $4.54 +2.27% SIDEWAYS 20h
20 Mar 2025 17:00 22 Mar 2025 01:00 $4.37 $4.46 +1.81% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
23 Mar 2025 03:00 24 Mar 2025 08:00 $4.45 $4.75 +6.31% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
25 Mar 2025 02:00 25 Mar 2025 09:00 $4.63 $4.65 +0.22% SIDEWAYS 8h
26 Mar 2025 02:00 26 Mar 2025 16:00 $4.62 $4.71 +1.72% SIDEWAYS 15h
27 Mar 2025 14:00 27 Mar 2025 21:00 $4.63 $4.66 +0.59% SIDEWAYS 8h
30 Mar 2025 02:00 30 Mar 2025 09:00 $4.13 $4.14 -0.12% SIDEWAYS 8h
30 Mar 2025 22:00 31 Mar 2025 02:00 $4.04 $4.06 -0.11% SIDEWAYS 5h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live DOT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polkadot Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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61.1% Win Rate +36.3% Return -6.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees