Paper Trades / DOT / DOT — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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DOT Polkadot Paper Trade

DOT — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 9 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain protocol that enables different blockchains to interoperate and share security. Founded by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood, Polkadot uses a unique parachain auction system. DOT price dynamics are influenced by parachain slot auctions, governance proposals, and broader cross-chain adoption trends. Its mid-cap positioning creates opportunities for larger percentage moves compared to mega-cap assets.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ DOT Signals →

DOT — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polkadot (DOT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+60.4%
€10,000 →
€16,036
Win Rate
90.0%
8W / 1L
Trades
9
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.34%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
8W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+64.50%
▼ -4.14
Win Rate
88.9%
▲ +1.11
Sharpe
14.62
▼ -14.62
Alpha vs B&H
+61.77pp
▼ -61.77
Max DD
-0.74%
▼ -2.60
Avg DD
-3.14%
▲ +3.14
Risk / Reward
87.57×
Trades
9
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+60.36%
Win Rate
90.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.34%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
9
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+28.86%
▲ +31.50
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +90.00
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -3.34
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

DOT

DOT Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +73.1%
16t
 		+69.8%
15t
 		+37.5%
16t
 		+64.5%
9t
 		+78.9%
13t
 		+24.2%
12t
 		+86.1%
12t
 		+85.2%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +4,989.2%

All months for DOT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — DOT — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
+7.5
8
—
9
+10.2
10
—
11
—
12
+5.7
13
—
14
-0.7
15
—
16
—
17
—
18
—
19
+3.1
20
+0.4
21
—
22
—
23
+9.4
24
—
25
+8.7
26
—
27
—
28
—
29
+6.6
30
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +60.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 90.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +5.53% on 8 trades, WR 88%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 8 87.5% +5.53% +52.96% 1.2d
BULL 1 100.0% +6.59% +6.59% 1.3d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 9 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 07:00 07 Apr 2025 15:00 $3.33 $3.60 +7.51% SIDEWAYS 9h
09 Apr 2025 00:00 09 Apr 2025 21:00 $3.36 $3.72 +10.24% SIDEWAYS 22h
10 Apr 2025 14:00 12 Apr 2025 20:00 $3.50 $3.71 +5.67% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
14 Apr 2025 02:00 14 Apr 2025 04:00 $3.73 $3.72 -0.74% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Apr 2025 01:00 19 Apr 2025 00:00 $3.55 $3.67 +3.11% SIDEWAYS 3d
20 Apr 2025 09:00 20 Apr 2025 17:00 $3.87 $3.90 +0.36% SIDEWAYS 9h
22 Apr 2025 01:00 23 Apr 2025 08:00 $3.79 $4.17 +9.36% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
24 Apr 2025 03:00 25 Apr 2025 08:00 $3.98 $4.34 +8.73% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
28 Apr 2025 01:00 29 Apr 2025 06:00 $4.03 $4.31 +6.59% BULL 1.3d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live DOT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polkadot Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → DOT Signals → View Plans →
90.0% Win Rate +60.4% Return -3.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees