Paper Trades / DOT / DOT — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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DOT Polkadot Paper Trade

DOT — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 12 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain protocol that enables different blockchains to interoperate and share security. Founded by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood, Polkadot uses a unique parachain auction system. DOT price dynamics are influenced by parachain slot auctions, governance proposals, and broader cross-chain adoption trends. Its mid-cap positioning creates opportunities for larger percentage moves compared to mega-cap assets.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ DOT Signals →

DOT — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polkadot (DOT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+76.5%
€10,000 →
€17,651
Win Rate
100.0%
12W / 0L
Trades
12
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-6.58%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+78.89%
▼ -2.38
Win Rate
100.0%
≈
Sharpe
16.90
▼ -16.90
Alpha vs B&H
+77.18pp
▼ -77.18
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -6.58
Avg DD
-2.71%
▲ +2.71
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
13
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+76.51%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-6.58%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+37.01%
▲ +39.50
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +100.00
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -6.58
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

DOT

DOT Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +73.1%
16t
 		+69.8%
15t
 		+37.5%
16t
 		+64.5%
9t
 		+78.9%
13t
 		+24.2%
12t
 		+86.1%
12t
 		+85.2%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +4,989.2%

All months for DOT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — DOT — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
—
10
—
11
+32.4
12
+0.8
13
—
14
+6.0
15
—
16
+3.3
17
—
18
+3.4
19
—
20
+1.8
21
+2.1
22
+1.1
23
—
24
+0.6
25
—
26
+0.8
27
+3.4
28
—
29
+2.9
30
—
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +76.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +10.64% on 4 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 4 100.0% +10.64% +46.25% 1.8d
BUBBLE 8 100.0% +2.01% +17.23% 15h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 May 2025 01:00 11 May 2025 00:00 $3.90 $5.18 +32.36% BULL 5d
11 May 2025 15:00 12 May 2025 00:00 $5.05 $5.11 +0.85% BULL 10h
13 May 2025 02:00 14 May 2025 02:00 $4.88 $5.19 +6.03% BULL 1d
15 May 2025 22:00 16 May 2025 11:00 $4.76 $4.93 +3.33% BULL 14h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 23:00 $4.62 $4.79 +3.39% BUBBLE 22h
19 May 2025 12:00 20 May 2025 10:00 $4.46 $4.57 +1.82% BUBBLE 23h
21 May 2025 09:00 21 May 2025 22:00 $4.64 $4.75 +2.05% BUBBLE 14h
22 May 2025 11:00 22 May 2025 23:00 $4.88 $4.95 +1.12% BUBBLE 13h
24 May 2025 01:00 24 May 2025 03:00 $4.58 $4.62 +0.58% BUBBLE 3h
25 May 2025 13:00 26 May 2025 11:00 $4.47 $4.52 +0.84% BUBBLE 23h
27 May 2025 01:00 27 May 2025 20:00 $4.41 $4.57 +3.41% BUBBLE 20h
28 May 2025 21:00 29 May 2025 00:00 $4.51 $4.65 +2.89% BUBBLE 4h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live DOT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polkadot Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → DOT Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +76.5% Return -6.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees