Paper Trades / DOT / DOT — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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DOT Polkadot Paper Trade

DOT — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 11 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain protocol that enables different blockchains to interoperate and share security. Founded by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood, Polkadot uses a unique parachain auction system. DOT price dynamics are influenced by parachain slot auctions, governance proposals, and broader cross-chain adoption trends. Its mid-cap positioning creates opportunities for larger percentage moves compared to mega-cap assets.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ DOT Signals →

DOT — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polkadot (DOT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+20.3%
€10,000 →
€12,025
Win Rate
83.3%
8W / 3L
Trades
11
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.81%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
8W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+24.23%
▼ -3.98
Win Rate
75.0%
▲ +8.30
Sharpe
9.29
▼ -9.29
Alpha vs B&H
+41.15pp
▼ -41.15
Max DD
-4.46%
▼ -1.35
Avg DD
-3.60%
▲ +3.60
Risk / Reward
5.43×
Trades
12
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+20.25%
Win Rate
83.3%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.81%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
11
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+12.33%
▲ +7.92
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +83.30
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -5.81
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

DOT

DOT Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +73.1%
16t
 		+69.8%
15t
 		+37.5%
16t
 		+64.5%
9t
 		+78.9%
13t
 		+24.2%
12t
 		+86.1%
12t
 		+85.2%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +4,989.2%

All months for DOT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — DOT — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
-1.8
2
-2.8
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
+1.3
7
—
8
—
9
—
10
+1.6
11
-0.1
12
—
13
—
14
+1.3
15
—
16
+3.7
17
—
18
—
19
—
20
+1.7
21
+1.3
22
—
23
—
24
+8.5
25
—
26
—
27
—
28
—
29
—
30
+4.0
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Solid return: +20.3%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • ↑ High win rate: 83.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.77% on 3 trades, WR 100%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: BUBBLE — avg -0.17% on 3 trades, WR 33%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 3 100.0% +3.77% +11.56% 1.7d
BULL 5 80.0% +1.59% +8.03% 22h
BUBBLE 3 33.3% -0.17% -0.54% 17h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 11 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
01 Jun 2025 02:00 01 Jun 2025 09:00 $4.07 $4.02 -1.76% BUBBLE 8h
01 Jun 2025 22:00 02 Jun 2025 09:00 $4.06 $3.97 -2.75% BULL 12h
05 Jun 2025 22:00 06 Jun 2025 23:00 $3.83 $3.90 +1.34% BULL 1.1d
07 Jun 2025 12:00 10 Jun 2025 08:00 $4.04 $4.12 +1.59% SIDEWAYS 2.9d
10 Jun 2025 21:00 11 Jun 2025 00:00 $4.26 $4.27 -0.09% BUBBLE 4h
13 Jun 2025 01:00 14 Jun 2025 14:00 $3.72 $3.79 +1.33% BUBBLE 1.6d
15 Jun 2025 02:00 16 Jun 2025 15:00 $3.78 $3.94 +3.67% BULL 1.6d
20 Jun 2025 05:00 20 Jun 2025 13:00 $3.49 $3.56 +1.70% BULL 9h
21 Jun 2025 02:00 21 Jun 2025 08:00 $3.45 $3.51 +1.25% SIDEWAYS 7h
22 Jun 2025 17:00 24 Jun 2025 14:00 $3.18 $3.46 +8.46% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
29 Jun 2025 02:00 30 Jun 2025 00:00 $3.39 $3.54 +3.97% BULL 23h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live DOT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polkadot Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time DOT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → DOT Signals → View Plans →
83.3% Win Rate +20.3% Return -5.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees