Paper Trades / ETH / ETH — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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ETH Ethereum Paper Trade

ETH — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 11 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency and the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and thousands of decentralized applications. Launched in 2015 by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, significantly reducing energy consumption. ETH price movements are driven by network activity, DeFi total value locked, and layer-2 adoption. Its high correlation with BTC during macro moves, combined with unique DeFi-driven volatility, creates distinct trading opportunities.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ETH Signals →

ETH — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethereum (ETH) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+57.3%
€10,000 →
€15,727
Win Rate
100.0%
11W / 0L
Trades
11
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-2.64%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+62.14%
▼ -4.87
Win Rate
100.0%
≈
Sharpe
16.04
▼ -16.04
Alpha vs B&H
+71.94pp
▼ -71.94
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -2.64
Avg DD
-2.03%
▲ +2.03
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
13
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+57.27%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-2.64%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
11
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+22.55%
▲ +34.72
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +100.00
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -2.64
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ETH

ETH Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +62.1%
13t
 		+42.1%
14t
 		+64.0%
19t
 		+69.3%
12t
 		+98.5%
17t
 		+43.2%
14t
 		+74.4%
11t
 		+76.3%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +5,488.4%

All months for ETH under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ETH — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
+2.2
7
—
8
—
9
—
10
—
11
+1.1
12
—
13
—
14
—
15
+12.5
16
—
17
+4.0
18
—
19
+7.8
20
+3.0
21
—
22
+3.3
23
—
24
+5.8
25
+1.5
26
—
27
—
28
+3.2
29
—
30
—
31
+5.9
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +57.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.6%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +5.84% on 3 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 8 100.0% +4.09% +37.61% 22h
BULL 3 100.0% +5.84% +18.21% 1.6d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 11 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 12:00 06 Jan 2025 16:00 $3,614.08 $3,710.18 +2.24% BUBBLE 1.2d
09 Jan 2025 21:00 11 Jan 2025 03:00 $3,207.43 $3,245.88 +1.06% BULL 1.3d
13 Jan 2025 15:00 15 Jan 2025 21:00 $3,049.00 $3,432.41 +12.46% BULL 2.3d
16 Jan 2025 15:00 17 Jan 2025 22:00 $3,333.04 $3,470.21 +4.01% BULL 1.3d
19 Jan 2025 11:00 19 Jan 2025 16:00 $3,149.97 $3,410.74 +7.84% BUBBLE 6h
20 Jan 2025 05:00 20 Jan 2025 08:00 $3,291.33 $3,392.43 +2.97% BUBBLE 4h
21 Jan 2025 01:00 22 Jan 2025 00:00 $3,250.63 $3,361.54 +3.31% BUBBLE 24h
23 Jan 2025 02:00 24 Jan 2025 10:00 $3,223.13 $3,413.40 +5.80% BUBBLE 1.4d
25 Jan 2025 08:00 25 Jan 2025 16:00 $3,291.06 $3,342.27 +1.45% BUBBLE 9h
27 Jan 2025 08:00 28 Jan 2025 01:00 $3,066.01 $3,166.68 +3.18% BUBBLE 18h
28 Jan 2025 22:00 31 Jan 2025 00:00 $3,084.16 $3,270.50 +5.94% BUBBLE 2.1d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ETH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethereum Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ETH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → ETH Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +57.3% Return -2.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees