Paper Trades / ETH / ETH — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

ETH Ethereum Paper Trade

ETH — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 17 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency and the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and thousands of decentralized applications. Launched in 2015 by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, significantly reducing energy consumption. ETH price movements are driven by network activity, DeFi total value locked, and layer-2 adoption. Its high correlation with BTC during macro moves, combined with unique DeFi-driven volatility, creates distinct trading opportunities.

ETH — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethereum (ETH) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
20.77
Alpha vs B&H
+61.30pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+37.22%
Max Drawdown
-0.11%
Avg Drawdown
-2.35%
Sharpe Trend
-3.85
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+98.52%
Win Rate
94.1%
Sharpe
20.77
Alpha vs B&H
+61.30pp
Max DD
-0.11%
Avg DD
-2.35%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
17
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+85.51%
▲ +13.01
Win Rate
92.9%
▲ +1.22
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +20.77
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +61.30
Max DD
-3.73%
▲ +3.62
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -2.35
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open v4.0 page →
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+47.61%
▲ +50.91
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +94.12
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +20.77
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +61.30
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -0.11
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -2.35
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ETH

ETH Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +62.1%
13t
+42.1%
14t
+64.0%
19t
+69.3%
12t
+98.5%
17t
+43.2%
14t
+74.4%
11t
+76.3%
13t
+5,488.4%

All months for ETH under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ETH — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
-0.1
6
7
+4.2
8
+20.1
9
10
+11.9
11
12
+4.2
13
+8.7
14
15
16
+1.8
17
18
+2.7
19
+5.9
20
21
+2.6
22
23
+7.5
24
+1.3
25
+0.8
26
+2.2
27
+4.6
28
29
+2.6
30
31
+1.2
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +98.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 94.1% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.1%.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +7.25% on 7 trades, WR 86%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 7 85.7% +7.25% +61.24% 20h
BUBBLE 10 100.0% +3.12% +35.73% 15h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 17 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 -0.11% BULL 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.16% BULL 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +20.13% BULL 23h
$0.00 $0.00 +11.88% BULL 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.22% BULL 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.73% BULL 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.75% BULL 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.67% BUBBLE 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.88% BUBBLE 21h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.63% BUBBLE 14h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.47% BUBBLE 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.28% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.77% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.19% BUBBLE 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.56% BUBBLE 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.62% BUBBLE 21h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.16% BUBBLE 5h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ETH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethereum Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ETH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

94.1% Win Rate +98.5% Return -0.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees