Paper Trades / ETH / ETH — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

ETH Ethereum Paper Trade

ETH — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia 19 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency and the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and thousands of decentralized applications. Launched in 2015 by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, significantly reducing energy consumption. ETH price movements are driven by network activity, DeFi total value locked, and layer-2 adoption. Its high correlation with BTC during macro moves, combined with unique DeFi-driven volatility, creates distinct trading opportunities.

ETH — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethereum (ETH) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
13.78
Alpha vs B&H
+81.51pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-17.48%
Max Drawdown
-0.30%
Avg Drawdown
-1.84%
Sharpe Trend
-6.37
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+64.03%
Win Rate
94.7%
Sharpe
13.78
Alpha vs B&H
+81.51pp
Max DD
-0.30%
Avg DD
-1.84%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
19
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+61.41%
▲ +2.62
Win Rate
100.0%
▼ -5.26
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +13.78
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +81.51
Max DD
-3.09%
▲ +2.79
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -1.84
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
17
Open v4.0 page →
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+43.23%
▲ +20.80
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +94.74
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +13.78
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +81.51
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -0.30
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -1.84
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ETH

ETH Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +62.1%
13t
+42.1%
14t
+64.0%
19t
+69.3%
12t
+98.5%
17t
+43.2%
14t
+74.4%
11t
+76.3%
13t
+5,488.4%

All months for ETH under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ETH — March 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
+13.4
3
4
+5.5
5
+1.2
6
7
+0.9
8
+3.4
9
10
+1.0
11
+5.0
12
13
14
+4.5
15
16
+1.1
17
+2.8
18
-0.3
19
+5.8
20
+0.1
21
22
+2.1
23
+0.2
24
+5.3
25
26
27
+0.8
28
+1.2
29
30
+0.1
31
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +64.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 94.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.3%.
  • Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +6.70% on 3 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 16 93.8% +2.12% +39.48% 11h
BEAR 3 100.0% +6.70% +21.07% 14h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 19 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +13.40% BEAR 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.54% BEAR 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.16% BEAR 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.93% SIDEWAYS 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.44% SIDEWAYS 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.95% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.98% SIDEWAYS 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.47% SIDEWAYS 22h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.13% SIDEWAYS 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.81% SIDEWAYS 13h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.30% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.78% SIDEWAYS 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.10% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.09% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.21% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.27% SIDEWAYS 12h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.79% SIDEWAYS 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.18% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.10% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ETH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethereum Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ETH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

94.7% Win Rate +64.0% Return -0.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees