Paper Trades / ETH / ETH — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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ETH Ethereum Paper Trade

ETH — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency and the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and thousands of decentralized applications. Launched in 2015 by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, significantly reducing energy consumption. ETH price movements are driven by network activity, DeFi total value locked, and layer-2 adoption. Its high correlation with BTC during macro moves, combined with unique DeFi-driven volatility, creates distinct trading opportunities.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ETH Signals →

ETH — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethereum (ETH) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+41.0%
€10,000 →
€14,096
Win Rate
100.0%
13W / 0L
Trades
13
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.37%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+42.08%
▼ -1.12
Win Rate
100.0%
≈
Sharpe
15.90
▼ -15.90
Alpha vs B&H
+71.25pp
▼ -71.25
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -3.37
Avg DD
-1.40%
▲ +1.40
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+40.96%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.37%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+27.83%
▲ +13.13
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +100.00
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -3.37
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ETH

ETH Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +62.1%
13t
 		+42.1%
14t
 		+64.0%
19t
 		+69.3%
12t
 		+98.5%
17t
 		+43.2%
14t
 		+74.4%
11t
 		+76.3%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +5,488.4%

All months for ETH under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ETH — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
+13.8
5
—
6
+1.3
7
—
8
+0.9
9
+1.1
10
+0.7
11
—
12
+4.5
13
—
14
—
15
+2.9
16
+0.2
17
+3.5
18
—
19
—
20
+4.6
21
—
22
—
23
+6.1
24
—
25
+4.7
26
—
27
+0.7
28
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +41.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +2.59% on 12 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 12 100.0% +2.59% +35.61% 20h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +13.78% +13.78% 23h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
03 Feb 2025 02:00 04 Feb 2025 00:00 $2,486.64 $2,840.95 +13.78% BUBBLE 23h
04 Feb 2025 23:00 06 Feb 2025 00:00 $2,731.19 $2,768.34 +1.26% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
08 Feb 2025 16:00 08 Feb 2025 20:00 $2,609.48 $2,635.83 +0.91% SIDEWAYS 5h
09 Feb 2025 14:00 09 Feb 2025 16:00 $2,627.63 $2,659.32 +1.10% SIDEWAYS 3h
10 Feb 2025 05:00 10 Feb 2025 22:00 $2,638.40 $2,658.49 +0.66% SIDEWAYS 18h
12 Feb 2025 01:00 12 Feb 2025 23:00 $2,616.80 $2,738.27 +4.54% SIDEWAYS 23h
13 Feb 2025 15:00 15 Feb 2025 01:00 $2,647.95 $2,728.49 +2.94% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
16 Feb 2025 02:00 16 Feb 2025 12:00 $2,690.51 $2,705.87 +0.16% SIDEWAYS 11h
17 Feb 2025 01:00 17 Feb 2025 13:00 $2,679.99 $2,776.59 +3.50% SIDEWAYS 13h
18 Feb 2025 17:00 20 Feb 2025 12:00 $2,619.76 $2,742.10 +4.57% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
21 Feb 2025 22:00 23 Feb 2025 08:00 $2,643.54 $2,806.39 +6.05% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
25 Feb 2025 08:00 25 Feb 2025 22:00 $2,396.99 $2,510.95 +4.65% SIDEWAYS 15h
26 Feb 2025 20:00 27 Feb 2025 09:00 $2,339.77 $2,359.23 +0.73% SIDEWAYS 14h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ETH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethereum Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ETH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → ETH Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +41.0% Return -3.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees