Paper Trades / ETH / ETH — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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ETH Ethereum Paper Trade

ETH — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 17 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency and the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and thousands of decentralized applications. Launched in 2015 by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, significantly reducing energy consumption. ETH price movements are driven by network activity, DeFi total value locked, and layer-2 adoption. Its high correlation with BTC during macro moves, combined with unique DeFi-driven volatility, creates distinct trading opportunities.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ETH Signals →

ETH — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethereum (ETH) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+61.4%
€10,000 →
€16,141
Win Rate
100.0%
17W / 0L
Trades
17
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.09%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
17W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+64.03%
▼ -2.62
Win Rate
94.7%
▲ +5.26
Sharpe
13.78
▼ -13.78
Alpha vs B&H
+81.51pp
▼ -81.51
Max DD
-0.30%
▼ -2.79
Avg DD
-1.84%
▲ +1.84
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
19
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+61.41%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.09%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
17
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+43.23%
▲ +18.18
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +100.00
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -3.09
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ETH

ETH Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +62.1%
13t
 		+42.1%
14t
 		+64.0%
19t
 		+69.3%
12t
 		+98.5%
17t
 		+43.2%
14t
 		+74.4%
11t
 		+76.3%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +5,488.4%

All months for ETH under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ETH — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
+10.1
4
—
5
+6.6
6
—
7
+0.9
8
+3.6
9
—
10
+1.0
11
+4.9
12
—
13
—
14
—
15
+5.2
16
+1.1
17
+1.9
18
—
19
+7.0
20
+0.1
21
—
22
+2.1
23
+0.2
24
+5.3
25
—
26
—
27
+0.8
28
+1.2
29
—
30
+0.1
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +61.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +8.35% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 15 100.0% +2.37% +41.54% 14h
BEAR 2 100.0% +8.35% +17.35% 24h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 17 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 15:00 03 Mar 2025 00:00 $2,229.51 $2,465.52 +10.13% BEAR 10h
04 Mar 2025 01:00 05 Mar 2025 14:00 $2,056.46 $2,194.39 +6.56% BEAR 1.6d
07 Mar 2025 01:00 07 Mar 2025 11:00 $2,175.00 $2,197.49 +0.93% SIDEWAYS 11h
08 Mar 2025 01:00 08 Mar 2025 20:00 $2,133.08 $2,212.99 +3.64% SIDEWAYS 20h
10 Mar 2025 00:00 10 Mar 2025 02:00 $2,036.48 $2,057.91 +0.95% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 11 Mar 2025 19:00 $1,858.66 $1,951.91 +4.91% SIDEWAYS 19h
13 Mar 2025 19:00 15 Mar 2025 21:00 $1,851.82 $1,950.84 +5.24% SIDEWAYS 2.1d
16 Mar 2025 12:00 16 Mar 2025 17:00 $1,881.01 $1,910.15 +1.13% SIDEWAYS 6h
17 Mar 2025 06:00 17 Mar 2025 22:00 $1,893.46 $1,932.21 +1.94% SIDEWAYS 17h
18 Mar 2025 12:00 19 Mar 2025 14:00 $1,895.98 $2,030.87 +7.01% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
20 Mar 2025 17:00 20 Mar 2025 19:00 $1,970.88 $1,974.75 +0.10% SIDEWAYS 3h
21 Mar 2025 13:00 22 Mar 2025 18:00 $1,952.53 $1,995.32 +2.09% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
23 Mar 2025 07:00 23 Mar 2025 09:00 $2,008.04 $2,014.25 +0.21% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Mar 2025 22:00 24 Mar 2025 09:00 $1,987.38 $2,094.30 +5.27% SIDEWAYS 12h
26 Mar 2025 19:00 27 Mar 2025 00:00 $1,999.92 $2,017.82 +0.79% SIDEWAYS 6h
28 Mar 2025 20:00 28 Mar 2025 22:00 $1,877.29 $1,901.42 +1.18% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Mar 2025 17:00 30 Mar 2025 19:00 $1,804.94 $1,814.22 +0.10% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ETH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethereum Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ETH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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100.0% Win Rate +61.4% Return -3.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees