Paper Trades / ETH / ETH — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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ETH Ethereum Paper Trade

ETH — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 12 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency and the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and thousands of decentralized applications. Launched in 2015 by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, significantly reducing energy consumption. ETH price movements are driven by network activity, DeFi total value locked, and layer-2 adoption. Its high correlation with BTC during macro moves, combined with unique DeFi-driven volatility, creates distinct trading opportunities.

ETH — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethereum (ETH) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-2.95%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+69.25%
▼ -6.38
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
16.78
▼ -16.78
Alpha vs B&H
+69.98pp
▼ -69.98
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -2.95
Avg DD
-2.31%
▲ +2.31
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
12
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+62.87%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-2.95%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+52.08%
▲ +10.79
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +100.00
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -2.95
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ETH

ETH Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +62.1%
13t
+42.1%
14t
+64.0%
19t
+69.3%
12t
+98.5%
17t
+43.2%
14t
+74.4%
11t
+76.3%
13t
+5,488.4%

All months for ETH under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ETH — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
+7.1
8
9
+16.4
10
11
+3.6
12
13
14
+5.4
15
16
17
+1.1
18
19
+1.4
20
21
+4.4
22
+11.8
23
24
25
+3.4
26
27
+0.6
28
+2.3
29
+1.8
30
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +62.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Tight risk control: max drawdown only -3.0%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +6.06% on 9 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 9 100.0% +6.06% +68.28% 1.0d
BULL 3 100.0% +1.57% +4.77% 12h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 07:00 07 Apr 2025 14:00 $1,460.15 $1,569.62 +7.06% SIDEWAYS 8h
09 Apr 2025 01:00 09 Apr 2025 21:00 $1,435.30 $1,671.64 +16.35% SIDEWAYS 21h
10 Apr 2025 16:00 11 Apr 2025 23:00 $1,510.73 $1,566.85 +3.61% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
13 Apr 2025 20:00 14 Apr 2025 10:00 $1,590.76 $1,678.83 +5.43% SIDEWAYS 15h
16 Apr 2025 10:00 17 Apr 2025 18:00 $1,581.62 $1,600.82 +1.11% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
18 Apr 2025 07:00 19 Apr 2025 15:00 $1,584.09 $1,607.28 +1.36% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
20 Apr 2025 11:00 21 Apr 2025 06:00 $1,572.62 $1,647.91 +4.36% SIDEWAYS 20h
22 Apr 2025 00:00 22 Apr 2025 23:00 $1,568.93 $1,756.26 +11.83% SIDEWAYS 24h
24 Apr 2025 08:00 25 Apr 2025 22:00 $1,734.91 $1,795.65 +3.40% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
26 Apr 2025 12:00 27 Apr 2025 01:00 $1,791.70 $1,804.60 +0.62% BULL 14h
28 Apr 2025 01:00 28 Apr 2025 12:00 $1,763.89 $1,806.87 +2.33% BULL 12h
29 Apr 2025 01:00 29 Apr 2025 11:00 $1,796.50 $1,829.77 +1.75% BULL 11h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ETH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethereum Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ETH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

100.0% Win Rate +62.9% Return -3.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees