Paper Trades / ETH / ETH — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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ETH Ethereum Paper Trade

ETH — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 16 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency and the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and thousands of decentralized applications. Launched in 2015 by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, significantly reducing energy consumption. ETH price movements are driven by network activity, DeFi total value locked, and layer-2 adoption. Its high correlation with BTC during macro moves, combined with unique DeFi-driven volatility, creates distinct trading opportunities.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ETH Signals →

ETH — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethereum (ETH) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+85.5%
€10,000 →
€18,551
Win Rate
92.9%
15W / 1L
Trades
16
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.73%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
15W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+98.52%
▼ -13.01
Win Rate
94.1%
▼ -1.22
Sharpe
20.77
▼ -20.77
Alpha vs B&H
+61.30pp
▼ -61.30
Max DD
-0.11%
▼ -3.62
Avg DD
-2.35%
▲ +2.35
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
17
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+85.51%
Win Rate
92.9%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.73%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+47.61%
▲ +37.90
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +92.90
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -3.73
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ETH

ETH Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +62.1%
13t
 		+42.1%
14t
 		+64.0%
19t
 		+69.3%
12t
 		+98.5%
17t
 		+43.2%
14t
 		+74.4%
11t
 		+76.3%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +5,488.4%

All months for ETH under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ETH — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
-0.1
6
—
7
+1.9
8
—
9
+22.4
10
—
11
+8.8
12
+3.1
13
—
14
+7.4
15
—
16
+1.6
17
—
18
+3.5
19
—
20
+8.4
21
+4.5
22
—
23
+5.9
24
+1.3
25
+0.8
26
—
27
—
28
+5.0
29
+3.1
30
—
31
+1.2
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +85.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 92.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +6.44% on 7 trades, WR 86%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 7 85.7% +6.44% +52.50% 23h
BUBBLE 9 100.0% +3.73% +38.76% 18h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 16 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 May 2025 02:00 05 May 2025 10:00 $1,799.41 $1,804.76 -0.11% BULL 9h
06 May 2025 14:00 07 May 2025 17:00 $1,768.70 $1,804.15 +1.86% BULL 1.2d
08 May 2025 06:00 09 May 2025 09:00 $1,911.29 $2,341.60 +22.39% BULL 1.2d
10 May 2025 01:00 11 May 2025 02:00 $2,335.28 $2,543.58 +8.81% BULL 1.1d
11 May 2025 16:00 12 May 2025 09:00 $2,470.79 $2,550.77 +3.13% BULL 18h
13 May 2025 01:00 14 May 2025 02:00 $2,453.11 $2,638.29 +7.44% BULL 1.1d
15 May 2025 15:00 16 May 2025 13:00 $2,563.76 $2,606.70 +1.57% BULL 23h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 15:00 $2,481.20 $2,578.99 +3.52% BUBBLE 14h
19 May 2025 04:00 20 May 2025 02:00 $2,365.81 $2,567.00 +8.40% BUBBLE 23h
20 May 2025 15:00 21 May 2025 06:00 $2,482.79 $2,597.68 +4.52% BUBBLE 16h
21 May 2025 19:00 23 May 2025 00:00 $2,512.79 $2,662.65 +5.86% BUBBLE 1.3d
24 May 2025 01:00 24 May 2025 04:00 $2,524.53 $2,559.40 +1.28% BUBBLE 4h
25 May 2025 01:00 25 May 2025 04:00 $2,495.71 $2,517.50 +0.77% BUBBLE 4h
25 May 2025 17:00 28 May 2025 01:00 $2,513.95 $2,643.75 +5.02% BUBBLE 2.4d
28 May 2025 14:00 29 May 2025 01:00 $2,628.40 $2,711.76 +3.07% BUBBLE 12h
31 May 2025 02:00 31 May 2025 06:00 $2,490.22 $2,521.70 +1.16% BUBBLE 5h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ETH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethereum Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ETH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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92.9% Win Rate +85.5% Return -3.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees