Paper Trades / ETH / ETH — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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ETH Ethereum Paper Trade

ETH — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 9 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency and the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and thousands of decentralized applications. Launched in 2015 by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum transitioned to proof-of-stake in 2022, significantly reducing energy consumption. ETH price movements are driven by network activity, DeFi total value locked, and layer-2 adoption. Its high correlation with BTC during macro moves, combined with unique DeFi-driven volatility, creates distinct trading opportunities.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ETH Signals →

ETH — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Ethereum (ETH) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+69.5%
€10,000 →
€16,945
Win Rate
100.0%
9W / 0L
Trades
9
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-2.96%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
9W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+74.36%
▼ -4.91
Win Rate
100.0%
≈
Sharpe
16.75
▼ -16.75
Alpha vs B&H
+27.57pp
▼ -27.57
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -2.96
Avg DD
-2.21%
▲ +2.21
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
11
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+69.45%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-2.96%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
9
V2.5.8.3
Return
+82.92%
▼ -13.47
Win Rate
91.7%
▲ +8.30
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.09%
▼ -2.87
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ETH

ETH Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +62.1%
13t
 		+42.1%
14t
 		+64.0%
19t
 		+69.3%
12t
 		+98.5%
17t
 		+43.2%
14t
 		+74.4%
11t
 		+76.3%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +5,488.4%

All months for ETH under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ETH — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
+2.1
8
—
9
—
10
—
11
—
12
+16.5
13
—
14
+1.8
15
—
16
—
17
—
18
+22.1
19
—
20
+4.9
21
—
22
+0.2
23
—
24
—
25
+2.1
26
—
27
+4.9
28
—
29
—
30
—
31
+1.3
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +69.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -3.0%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +6.20% on 9 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 9 100.0% +6.20% +68.47% 1.7d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 9 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 02:00 07 Jul 2025 02:00 $2,513.35 $2,576.34 +2.09% BUBBLE 1d
07 Jul 2025 15:00 12 Jul 2025 04:00 $2,533.81 $2,956.34 +16.51% BUBBLE 4.6d
12 Jul 2025 17:00 14 Jul 2025 18:00 $2,941.27 $2,997.26 +1.76% BUBBLE 2.1d
15 Jul 2025 07:00 18 Jul 2025 12:00 $2,977.49 $3,637.57 +22.05% BUBBLE 3.3d
20 Jul 2025 02:00 20 Jul 2025 16:00 $3,616.30 $3,809.19 +4.90% BUBBLE 15h
22 Jul 2025 14:00 22 Jul 2025 16:00 $3,706.33 $3,716.98 +0.19% BUBBLE 3h
24 Jul 2025 05:00 25 Jul 2025 02:00 $3,556.33 $3,635.30 +2.08% BUBBLE 22h
25 Jul 2025 15:00 27 Jul 2025 16:00 $3,634.20 $3,816.02 +4.90% BUBBLE 2.1d
30 Jul 2025 14:00 31 Jul 2025 06:00 $3,819.52 $3,874.08 +1.33% BUBBLE 17h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ETH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Ethereum Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ETH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → ETH Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +69.5% Return -3.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees