Paper Trades / OXT / OXT — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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OXT Orchid Paper Trade

OXT — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Orchid (OXT) powers a decentralized VPN network where users pay providers for bandwidth using a probabilistic nanopayments system. Listed since 2019, OXT has full multi-cycle history including 2021 highs and the subsequent drawdown. Price action is privacy-narrative driven with lower liquidity than mid-caps.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ OXT Signals →

OXT — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Orchid (OXT) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+72.1%
€10,000 →
€17,214
Win Rate
87.5%
12W / 2L
Trades
14
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.11%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+74.61%
▼ -2.47
Win Rate
87.5%
≈
Sharpe
11.84
▼ -11.84
Alpha vs B&H
+96.33pp
▼ -96.33
Max DD
-1.75%
▼ -2.36
Avg DD
-3.89%
▲ +3.89
Risk / Reward
42.73×
Trades
16
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+72.14%
Win Rate
87.5%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.11%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+57.86%
▲ +14.28
Win Rate
81.3%
▲ +6.20
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.31%
▼ -3.80
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

OXT

OXT Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +68.5%
15t
 		+74.6%
16t
 		+62.4%
18t
 		+48.1%
14t
 		+71.0%
14t
 		+48.5%
15t
 		+60.9%
15t
 		+66.7%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +4,718.7%

All months for OXT under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — OXT — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
+2.5
3
—
4
+19.0
5
—
6
—
7
+6.3
8
—
9
+9.9
10
—
11
+7.7
12
—
13
+4.6
14
—
15
—
16
+1.1
17
+0.9
18
—
19
—
20
+7.9
21
—
22
+0.3
23
-1.7
24
—
25
—
26
+3.9
27
+1.4
28
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +72.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 87.5% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.72% on 11 trades, WR 82%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 11 81.8% +3.72% +48.36% 22h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +19.04% +19.04% 1.0d
BULL 1 100.0% +2.48% +2.48% 7h
BEAR 1 100.0% +1.36% +1.36% 8h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Feb 2025 04:00 02 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.11 $0.11 +2.48% BULL 7h
03 Feb 2025 01:00 04 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.08 $0.10 +19.04% BUBBLE 1d
06 Feb 2025 19:00 07 Feb 2025 14:00 $0.09 $0.09 +6.26% SIDEWAYS 20h
08 Feb 2025 03:00 09 Feb 2025 05:00 $0.09 $0.10 +9.95% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
09 Feb 2025 20:00 11 Feb 2025 04:00 $0.09 $0.10 +7.72% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
12 Feb 2025 01:00 13 Feb 2025 08:00 $0.10 $0.10 +4.62% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
16 Feb 2025 03:00 16 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.10 $0.10 +1.07% SIDEWAYS 11h
17 Feb 2025 19:00 17 Feb 2025 21:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.89% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Feb 2025 17:00 20 Feb 2025 23:00 $0.09 $0.10 +7.95% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
22 Feb 2025 01:00 22 Feb 2025 05:00 $0.10 $0.10 +0.31% SIDEWAYS 5h
22 Feb 2025 18:00 23 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.10 $0.10 -0.51% SIDEWAYS 8h
23 Feb 2025 17:00 23 Feb 2025 19:00 $0.10 $0.09 -1.24% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Feb 2025 01:00 26 Feb 2025 16:00 $0.08 $0.09 +3.86% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
27 Feb 2025 05:00 27 Feb 2025 12:00 $0.09 $0.09 +1.36% BEAR 8h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live OXT signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Orchid Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time OXT signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → OXT Signals → View Plans →
87.5% Win Rate +72.1% Return -4.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees